Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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877
ACUS11 KWNS 111253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111252
MOZ000-KSZ000-111645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0016
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2018

Areas affected...Eastern KS...Northwest MO

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

Valid 111252Z - 111645Z

SUMMARY...Mixed winter precipitation, including freezing rain and/or
sleet, is possible across the region through mid-morning.

DISCUSSION...A strong cold front extends from eastern IA
southwestward through north-central MO and southeast KS.
Temperatures ahead and immediately behind the cold front are
generally in the 40s but strong cold advection will result in
surface temperatures dropping below freezing quickly. Mid-level
temperatures will remain warmer as the mid-level trough lags behind
the surface cold front. As a result, thermodynamic profiles
favorable for sleet and/or freezing rain will likely exist across
the region during the next several hours.

General expectation is for ongoing precipitation to persist and for
the area of precipitation currently moving northeastward from
south-central KS to move into the region. Given the anticipated
thermodynamic profiles, a mix of freezing rain and/or sleet is
possible over the next few hours.

..Mosier.. 01/11/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   38959403 38149489 37359589 37169666 37389704 37759680
            38649593 39999482 39829348 38959403




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