Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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914
ACUS11 KWNS 242155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242155
WIZ000-MNZ000-242300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0709
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 242155Z - 242300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED LARGE-HAIL AND STRONG WIND-GUST THREAT MAY
ACCOMPANY A MATURING STORM ACROSS CNTRL MN THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. COVERAGE AND DURATION OF THESE THREATS IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW A RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELL HAS
DEVELOPED ACROSS CNTRL MN...AND IS ANCHORED ALONG A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S F ARE OBSERVED TO
THE S OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE STRONGER MIXING HAS OCCURRED...WHILE A
NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOW-MID 60S F DEWPOINTS IS IN PLACE INVOF THE
BOUNDARY. WEAK ELY WINDS ARE PRESENT N OF THE BOUNDARY...BUT
LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS GENERALLY WEAK ACROSS THE REGION...AND STRONGER IN
THE MID-LEVELS. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /AROUND 30 KT/ AND COLD MIDLEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED ISOLATED
LARGE-HAIL THREAT...AND PERHAPS A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS...PRIOR TO
THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

..ROGERS/EDWARDS.. 05/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   44389214 44289353 44579476 44989548 45329555 45459525
            45369466 45099378 45039326 44929272 44729225 44389214




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