Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 282024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282023
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-282230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1829
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 PM CST MON NOV 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWESTERN
MISSISSIPPI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 501

VALID 282023Z - 282230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 501 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN
LOUISIANA...WHERE TORNADO WATCH #501 REMAINS IN EFFECT.  A NEW
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED INTO PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

DISCUSSION...AS THE UPPER TROUGH CROSSING OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
APPROACHES THE OZARKS VICINITY AND THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
(NOW STRETCHING FROM FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS SOUTHWARD INTO FAR EASTERN
TEXAS) CONTINUES EASTWARD...THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ACROSS THE
LOUISIANA WARM SECTOR HAVE SHOWN SOME INCREASE IN
INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO.  VERY STRONG SHEAR
PERSISTING ACROSS THE REGION AND MODEST DESTABILIZATION SPREADING
INTO SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA SUGGESTS RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND MARGINAL HAIL ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL PERSIST ACROSS
THIS AREA.  MEANWHILE...AS THE NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST WARM FRONT
RETREATS SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI ALLOWING
THE WARM SECTOR TO EXPAND WITH TIME...STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED
SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK -- WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE WITH TIME
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  AS SUCH...A NEW
TORNADO WATCH WILL BE CONSIDERED EAST OF THE EXISTING WATCH OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO.

..GOSS.. 11/28/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   32199177 32629076 31718951 30768963 30109120 29929407
            31689381 32199177




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