Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 232216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232216
MEZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-232345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1448
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0516 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...ERN PA...NRN NJ...WRN CT...WRN MA...SRN
VT...NH AND ERN ME

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 432...

VALID 232216Z - 232345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 432
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED INSTANCES OF STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING FROM SERN NY...ERN PA...NRN NJ AND
PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...BUT AN OVERALL DECREASE IS EXPECTED BY
00Z.

DISCUSSION...EXPANSIVE SQUALL LINE FROM ERN MAINE SWWD THROUGH SERN
NY AND ERN PA WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS IT DEVELOPS SEWD AT 20-25 KT NEXT COUPLE
HOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE DOWNSTREAM IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE...BUT MODEST LAPSE RATES AND WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR ARE SERVING AS LIMITING FACTORS FOR A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE
THREAT. THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE FURTHER BY 00Z WITH ONSET OF
NOCTURNAL COOLING AND AS STORMS MOVE INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BEEN RENDERED LESS UNSTABLE BY THE INFLUENCE OF
THE MARINE LAYER.

..DIAL.. 07/23/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
CTP...

LAT...LON   43407223 44456915 45036772 44726752 43477053 42057227
            40217497 40087647 40827562 41897478 42437435 42917322
            43407223




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