Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 242251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242250
KSZ000-OKZ000-242345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0439
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0550 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL OK INTO CNTRL/ERN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 102...

VALID 242250Z - 242345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 102 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF WW 102.
PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH IN S-CNTRL KS AND N-CNTRL OK MAY BE
CANCELLED EARLY IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE.

DISCUSSION...ONGOING SUPERCELL OVER OTTAWA/SALINE COUNTIES IN KS
WILL CONTINUE NEWD OVER THE NEXT HOUR...POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. LATEST RAP
MESOANALYSIS AND VWPS FROM KTOP/KICT SUGGEST THE LOW-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE SHORT
TERM ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/ERN KS AS A LOW-LEVEL JET PRESENT OVER
MUCH OF THE MCD AREA STRENGTHENS WITH TIME THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.

FURTHER S ACROSS S-CNTRL KS INTO N-CNTRL OK...VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A LACK OF RECENT CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
DRYLINE...AND AGITATED CUMULUS THAT WAS PRESENT EARLIER HAS
DISSIPATED. THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS
REGION IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY THIS EVENING AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT WITH THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN/CNTRL
PLAINS BECOMES INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THIS AREA. IF CURRENT
TRENDS CONTINUE...PORTIONS OF THE TORNADO WATCH ACROSS S-CNTRL KS
INTO N-CNTRL OK MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED EARLY.

..GLEASON.. 04/24/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   36159959 36589961 36589961 37729955 39129904 39949794
            39969535 39699536 38039551 37299595 36259693 36159713
            36159734 36159959




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