Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 262353
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262353
TXZ000-270100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...NW/N-CNTRL TX...TX HILL COUNTY...EDWARDS PLATEAU

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217...

VALID 262353Z - 270100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. A
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED OVER PORTIONS OF N-CNTRL TX DOWNSTREAM OF THE
ONGOING ACTIVITY AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

DISCUSSION...RECENT INTERACTION BETWEEN THE WRN MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AND ONGOING WEAK CONVECTION ACROSS NW TX AND THE TX ROLLING
PLAINS HAS RESULTED IN STORM INTENSIFICATION...ALTHOUGH THE
PERSISTENCE OF THESE STRONGER UPDRAFTS IS IN QUESTION DUE TO COOLER
CONDITIONS BEHIND THE OUTFLOW. RECENT MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS A NARROW
AREA AHEAD OF THE ONGOING STORMS NEAR ABI REMAINS FREE OF CINH BUT
NON-ZERO CINH EXISTS EAST OF A LINE FROM YOUNG COUNTY TO HAMILTON
COUNTY /ROUGHLY ALONG THE 80 DEG F ISOTHERM/. CURRENT EXPECTATION IS
FOR THE SVR THREAT TO PERSIST ACROSS EASTLAND AND STEPHENS COUNTY
BUT THE INCREASED CINH INTRODUCES UNCERTAINTY TO UPDRAFT STRENGTH
AFTER THAT. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A SMALL
WATCH IN THIS AREA.

FARTHER S...RECENT RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A TRANSITION TO A MORE
LINEAR MODE HAS OCCURRED WITH THE TSTM CLUSTER NEAR SJT BUT THE
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS PERSISTS.

..MOSIER/GUYER.. 05/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   29770174 30300175 30620165 31060237 31070129 32080129
            32090066 32970065 32949997 33419998 33389897 32969895
            32959907 32089911 32069892 31719866 31449910 30979906
            30949951 30519949 30519929 30299929 30289977 30089975
            29629959 29629942 29139941 29080067 29330097 29690138
            29760148 29770174




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