Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 020607
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020606
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-020700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1277
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL WY / EXTREME SWRN SD / NRN NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 020606Z - 020700Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...50-70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND ISOLD LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS A STORM CLUSTER MOVES SSEWD ACROSS THE
NRN PORTIONS OF THE NEB PANHANDLE.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
/RECENTLY MEASURED 60+ MPH WIND GUSTS/ MOVING SEWD INTO A BUOYANCY
AXIS LOCATED FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS NWWD INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE.  A
FINE LINE DEPICTED IN MOSAIC IMAGERY IS ORIENTED NW-SE ACROSS
S-CNTRL NEB NEAR HSI IS MOVING WWD WHILE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
ORIENTED PRIMARILY N-S IS LOCATED OVER SWRN NEB AND NWRN KS.
DESPITE THE LACK OF A LLJ AND ASSOCIATED WAA REGIME AIDING TO
SUSTAIN THIS STORM COMPLEX...A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY
LOW 60S DEWPOINTS AND AN ORGANIZING COLD POOL WILL SERVE AS SUPPORT
FOR STORMS TO CONTINUE SEWD INTO AT LEAST W-CNTRL NEB AND PERHAPS
AREAS FARTHER SSE.  WHILE THE SEVERE STORM RISK IS ANTICIPATED TO
REMAIN FAIRLY ISOLD...STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
NEAR THE MOST INTENSE CORES ARE POSSIBLE.

..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 07/02/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

LAT...LON   42350445 42950456 43030242 42270147 41600184 41530320
            42350445



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