Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 231734
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231733
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-232000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/SERN GEORGIA...FAR SRN SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 231733Z - 232000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN/SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
OWING TO THE MARGINAL NATURE OF THE SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL...A WATCH
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVING ACROSS ALABAMA THIS MORNING HAS RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT
AND MAINTENANCE OF A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA. ENHANCED LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
DISTURBANCE /AROUND 30 KTS AT 3-KM AGL PER JGX VWP/ SHOULD SUPPORT
SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS.  AS THESE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD
AND DEVELOP SOUTHWARD INTO A WARMING/DESTABILIZING AND MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.  THE ISOLATED AND MARGINAL
NATURE OF THE SEVERE WIND THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE
OF A WATCH.

..JIRAK/CORFIDI.. 08/23/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31918300 32378236 33188219 33368206 33538175 33458133
            33168085 32798073 32468075 32158091 31998108 31468135
            30938180 30688244 30478300 30358367 30468432 30878505
            31868479 31918300




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