Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 211329
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211328
MIZ000-WIZ000-211530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1346
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0828 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SERN WI/UPPER MI...MUCH OF LOWER
MI...LM...LH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 211328Z - 211530Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS IS INCREASING AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 14Z.

DISCUSSION...AN ORGANIZED FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE
SE AT 40-45 KTS ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHERN WI AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
UPPER MI. LEADING EDGE REFLECTIVITY HAS INCREASED SINCE 1230Z AND A
PRONOUNCED REAR-INFLOW JET IS APPARENT ON KGRB RADAR. WITH A
WELL-DEVELOPED COLD POOL AND DOWNSTREAM DESTABILIZATION
UNDERWAY...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS. THE
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IS INCREASING ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
AREA AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO 14Z.

..BUNTING/HART.. 07/21/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...MQT...GRB...MKX...ARX...

LAT...LON   42548755 42508845 42568956 42698984 43139004 43729013
            43938955 44128851 44618777 44768727 45438671 45838636
            46648605 47148554 46218406 45788367 45458338 44948314
            44368292 44038281 43288321 42668403 42538645 42548755




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