Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 122253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122252
AZZ000-130015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 122252Z - 130015Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ONGOING TSTM ACTIVITY E OF PHOENIX WILL CONTINUE SWWD
WHILE POSING SOME THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. LOCALIZED NATURE OF
THE THREAT WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

DISCUSSION...TSTM ACTIVITY E OF PHOENIX HAS RECENTLY SHOWN AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD-PROPAGATION AS IT ENTERS THE HOT AND DRY
BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS CNTRL AZ. IWA VAD REVEALS DECENT NELY
FLOW WITH 30 KT NOTED BETWEEN 4 AND 6 KFT. AS A RESULT...STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THEIR SWLY MOTION INTO THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS
WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS BEFORE THE STORMS
DISSIPATE.

..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 07/12/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

LAT...LON   34431178 34351107 34011056 33791034 33381019 32971024
            32391051 31791138 31711203 32021243 33371244 34161219
            34431178




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