Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 262333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262333
KSZ000-270100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 262333Z - 270100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
REPORTS AND/OR STRONG WIND GUSTS. WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF CONVERGENCE ALONG A FRONT...ADEQUATE
INSOLATION...AND SUBTLE FORCING FOR ASCENT FROM A PASSING IMPULSE
HAS INITIATED CONVECTION NEAR/EAST OF ICT. RECENT REPORTS SUGGEST
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
CORES...ACQUIRING ORGANIZATION FROM AROUND 25-30 KT OF CLOUD-LAYER
SHEAR AND VIGOROUS VERTICAL MOTION FROM UPWARDS OF 1500-2000 J/KG OF
MLCAPE. NONETHELESS...MARGINAL 850-700 WINDS /AND THE OVERALL WIND
FIELD/...AS WELL AS CELLS BEING UNDERCUT BY A NWD-PROGRESSING
BOUNDARY...WILL LIKELY FAVOR ONLY A MARGINAL THREAT FOR A COUPLE OF
LARGE HAIL REPORTS THIS EVENING. AS SUCH...WW ISSUANCE IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..PICCA/CORFIDI.. 05/26/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON   37589932 37689806 38159619 38219550 38139510 37869487
            37429550 37119657 37049775 37089899 37319953 37589932



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