Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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094
ACUS11 KWNS 081731
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081730
MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-082230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST MON FEB 08 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN MA...FAR ERN NH...RI...ERN CT...AND
ERN LONG ISLAND

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 081730Z - 082230Z

SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOWFALL...WITH RATES OF 1 INCH/HR COMMON...WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 22Z. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
LIKELY ACROSS SERN MA...INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.

DISCUSSION...RADAR IMAGERY AS OF 1715Z ACROSS THE REGION DEPICTS
SEVERAL BANDS OF ONGOING MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
STACKED UPPER/SFC LOW ESE OF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. TENDENCY WILL BE
FOR THESE MESOSCALE BANDS TO SLOWLY SHIFT EWD TOWARDS THE COAST
THROUGH 22Z AS THE UPPER/SFC LOW CONTINUE QUICKLY NEWD AND AWAY FROM
THE MCD AREA. ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF MA/CT...ONE OF THESE MESOSCALE
BANDS IS STRUGGLING TO PRODUCE ANY MORE THAN MODERATE SNOW PER SFC
OBSERVATIONS AND REPORTED SNOW TOTALS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO AN
INTRUSION OF DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR EVIDENT ON THE 12Z KGYX SOUNDING AND
IN RECENT SFC DEWPOINTS AOB 10 DEG F LOCATED IN THIS AREA.

FURTHER E ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...SFC DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY
HIGHER...AND A STRONG NLY/NELY FETCH OFF THE ATLANTIC SHOULD
ENCOURAGE HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH/HR. A STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND NELY LOW-LEVEL JET...PARTICULARLY OVER SERN MA
INCLUDING THE CAPE/ISLANDS...WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE NEAR-BLIZZARD
TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS REGION. RECENT SFC OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AOB 1/4 MI WITH HEAVY SNOW AND
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 KT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT AT KACK.

..GLEASON.. 02/08/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...

LAT...LON   40707292 41867240 42637167 43077081 42987055 42607052
            42077000 41666983 41196992 41197085 41027180 40817237
            40707292




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