National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 121936
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
236 PM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...

COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT. LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR A PERFECT RADIATIONAL
COOLING NIGHT FOR THE NORTHEAST HALF OF CWA. THIS WILL ALLOW LOWS
TO DROP INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE. AREAS OF
FROST WILL DEVELOP AND AS A RESULT A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED. WILL EXPAND THE ADVISORY TO INCLUDE LAKE AND DYER COUNTY.
MEANWHILE...THE REST OF THE CWA MAY SEE SOME MID CLOUDS CURRENTLY
OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS DRIFT OVERHEAD LATER TONIGHT. AS A
RESULT...HAVE BUMPED UP LOWS SOUTHWEST OF JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO
MEMPHIS TENNESSEE LINE. LOWS FOR THE REST OF THE CWA WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 30S INTO THE UPPER 40S.

THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND.
HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S AFTER A COOL
START. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA BY TUESDAY. AS A
RESULT...TEMPERATURES WILL SHOOT UP INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TIME PERIOD.

BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION. THE TROF WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL REMAIN
IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.

NEXT WEEKEND...A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA. CHANCES
FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION MAY OCCUR. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S.

KRM

&&

.CLIMATE...

RECORD LOWS FOR MAY 13TH...

MEMPHIS TN...   45 SET IN 1997
JACKSON TN...   43 SET IN 1960
JONESBORO AR... 40 SET IN 1910
TUPELO MS...    43 SET IN 1997

JCL

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAF SET

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE NORTH...GENERALLY 7-10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING
CALM OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET. SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP
MONDAY MORNING.

SJM

&&


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  48  76  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
MKL  36  71  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
JBR  44  75  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
TUP  41  73  51  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
     CARROLL-CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-GIBSON-HARDIN-
     HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-OBION-WEAKLEY.

&&

$$

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