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000
FNUS76 KMFR 221853
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for AFR 16D...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1153 AM PDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm weather will continue through Wednesday.
However there will be building cumulus both Tuesday and Wednesday
afternoon just south of the burn area. There is a risk for isolated
thunderstorms later Tuesday afternoon that should stay south of the
burn area.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, then partly cloudy in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-78.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph in the morning, then northwest
                    2-4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph in the morning, then northwest
                    4-7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7-11 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....40-42.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 1-3 mph in the evening, then
                    variable 0-2 mph
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 2-4 mph, in the evening, then
                    variable 1-3 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3-7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....71-73.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph in the morning, then
                    northwest 2-4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph in the morning, then
                    northwest 4-8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9-14 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...PETRUCELLI
Requested by...E Berman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411724.0/MFR
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eli.berman@usda.gov