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000
FXUS62 KMLB 180050
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
850 PM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
AS EXPECTED...LATE AFTERNOON EARLY EVENING SHOWERS ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE BOUNDARY WERE FEW AND FAR IN BETWEEN ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA. WHILE A FEW DEVELOPED ALONG THE INTERACTION WITH THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE BREEZE IN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND THE LAKE APOPKA BREEZE
IN FAR WESTERN ORANGE...ALL ACTIVITY OVER LAND HAS NOW DISSIPATED.

THE PERSISTENT CONVERGENCE BAND OFF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND THAT HAS
BEEN LIFTING NORTHWARDS ALL IS STILL PRESENT AND PRODUCING
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL ATLANTIC. WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET OVERNIGHT AND IN THE ADJACENT WATERS. LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID
TO UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S ALONG SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS.

FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SATURDAY...SOME MOISTURE ORIGINATING ACROSS NW BAHAMAS WILL WORK NW
OVER E CENTRAL FL ON SAT WITH LOW LVL SE FLOW. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES WILL CREEP UP TO AROUND 1.4 INCHES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. NW
FLOW IN THE MID LVLS WITH H5 TEMPS COOLING TO -10 TO -11 DEGS WILL
PRODUCE A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND SHOULD ALLOW FOR A CHANCE OF
STORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR IN THE AFTERNOON AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
COASTAL SECTIONS WITH SOME STORMS MAKING IT BACK TOWARD THE COAST.
HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE MID 80S ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES AND UPPER
80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

&&

.AVIATION...THROUGH 18/13Z...A FEW -SHRA MOVING INTO THE COAST SOUTH
OF KVRB...MAINLY VCNTY KVRB. BREEZY EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS THIS
EVENING BECOMING NEARLY CALM AFTER 18/03Z...EXCEPT ALONG IMMEDIATE
COAST. 13Z-17Z...EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO 8-10KT OVER THE
INTERIOR AND 10-15KTS ALONG THE COAST WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. ISOLD SHRA...POSSIBLE TSRA ALONG INWARD
MOVING SEA BREEZE MAINLY SOUTH OF KMLB. AFTER 17Z...ISOLD-SCT SHRA
AND TSRA INCREASING IN COVERAGE THROUGH AFTERNOON WITH BEST CHANCES
OVER ORLANDO METRO AIRPORTS-KLEE AFTER 20Z.

&&

.MARINE...

TONIGHT-SATURDAY...NOCTURNAL WIND INCREASE HAS BROUGHT
EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO AROUND 15KTS OVER THE LOCAL WATERS THIS
EVENING WITH THE FLOW EXPECTED TO VEER MORE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
NIGHT. WINDS CONTINUE AT 10-15KTS ON SATURDAY...BECOMING A LITTLE
MORE EASTERLY NEAR THE COAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE.

SEAS 3-4 FT WITH DOMINANT PERIODS AROUND 8 SEC THIS EVENING
INCREASING TO 10 SEC ON SAT.

INLAND BOATERS AND THOSE ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WILL WANT TO BE ON
GUARD FOR ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS AFTER
THE STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER WE HAVE HAD LATELY. NATIONAL SAFE BOATING
WEEK BEGINS THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

MOSES/LASCODY