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000
FXUS62 KMLB 131342
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
942 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2013

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-TODAY...COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
THIS MORNING. NORTHWEST OR NORTH WINDS BEHIND IT WITH SPEEDS
INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH BEHIND IT LATER ON FROM ROUGHLY ORLANDO
NORTHWARD WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. WIND SPEEDS 15-20 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST THROUGH BREVARD COUNTY AS WELL. MUCH DRIER
AIR WILL FILTER DOWN THE PENINSULA BEHIND THIS FEATURE WITH
DEWPOINTS FALLING INTO THE UPPER 40S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-4
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION CHANCES AROUND 20 PERCENT
MAINLY SOUTH OF KMLB BUT COULD SEE A FEW SPRINKLES THIS MORNING
NORTHWARD OVER THE AREA...BUT NOT EXPECTING MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION FURTHER NORTH OF KMLB. AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORM
WILL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM
ANY STORM.

CONSIDERABLE MID AND UPPER CLOUDINESS THIS MORNING SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH ACROSS THE NORTH THIS AFTN AND PRODUCE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
MAX TEMPS WILL REACH THE LOWER 80S ALONG THE COAST CAPE NORTH TO THE
MID 80S ELSEWHERE. WILL UPDATE ZONES SHORTLY TO CLEAN UP FIRST
PERIOD WORDING.

TONIGHT...PREVIOUS...NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPS WITH LOWS TUE MORNING
IN THE MID AND UPPER 50S NORTH AND WEST OF ORLANDO...AND OKEECHOBEE.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP THE IMMEDIATE COAST MILDER IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...WEAK FRONT PUSHING THRU CENTRAL FL EARLY THIS MORNING. A
FEW SPRINKLES MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH ITS PASSAGE AND MAINLY SOUTH OF
KMCO. OTHERWISE...VFR WITH WINDS TURNING NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT ALL
TERMINALS AND INCREASING TO 15 KNOTS ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND BREVARD
COASTS.

&&

.MARINE...TODAY-TONIGHT...WEAK COLD FRONT PRESSING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND SHOULD BE SOUTH OF THE WATERS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NW WINDS BEHIND FRONT WILL VEER TO NORTH BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...VEERING FURTHER NNE/NE LATER THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SPEEDS AROUND 10 KTS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY
WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KTS AWAY FROM THE COAST BEHIND IT THROUGH
THE DAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR WINDS MOST LEGS.
SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 FT TONIGHT WITH OCCASIONALLY 6 FT POSSIBLE ESP
IN THE GULF STREAM. A FEW OFFSHORE MOVING STORMS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON OFF OF THE MARTIN COUNTY COAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...PREVIOUS...TODAY...MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO
CENTRAL FL ON NORTH WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT. RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR ABOUT 4 HOURS ACROSS THE NORTH
INTERIOR...FROM I 4 CORRIDOR NORTH. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE 10-14 MPH
OUT OF THE NORTH. ERC VALUES ARE CREEPING UP BUT THEY DO NOT SUPPORT
RED FLAG ISSUANCE. NONETHELESS...IT WILL BE A FIRE SENSITIVE DAY
ACROSS THE NORTH INTERIOR.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

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