Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 130135
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
935 PM EDT WED JUN 12 2013

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS SPARKED A
FEW STRONG STORMS OVER THE INTERIOR...BUT THAT ACTIVITY HAS NOW
ENDED. WILL UPDATE THE ZONES TO REMOVE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST
OF THE NIGHT. DEBRIS CLOUD COVER FROM EARLIER CONVECTION WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY
CLEAR. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

THU-THU NIGHT...(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION) EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA LOOKS
TO BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OVER
BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH FLORIDA. WITH MID-LEVEL RIDGING AMPLIFIED
OVER THE PLAINS AND EASTERN CONUS TROUGHING WE WILL BE UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HERE IN CENTRAL FLORIDA. LIGHT
WEST OR SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL BECOME EAST-SOUTHEAST
ALONG THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARY DEVELOPS AND MOVES SLOWLY INLAND. FROM ORLANDO NORTHWARD
WILL HAVE MAINLY 20 PERCENT POPS AND 30 TO 40 PERCENT FURTHER
SOUTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING PERIOD. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S INTO THE INTERIOR. OVERNIGHT LOWS CONTINUE IN
THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED WITH NO ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES
OVERNIGHT. EAST COAST SEA BREEZE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOMORROW AFT
MAINLY FROM THE CAPE SOUTHWARD. TEMPO IFR/MVFR CONDS WILL OCCUR IN
ANY SHRAS/TSRAS THAT DEVELOP WITH BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED SOUTH OF
ORLANDO.

&&

.MARINE...S/SW WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 KNOTS TONIGHT WITH SEAS
2-3 FEET.


&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WEITLICH





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