000
FXUS62 KMLB 220152
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
952 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT/TONIGHT...FEWER LINGERING POCKETS OF INSTABILITY EXIST
TONIGHT SO THINK THAT THERE WILL BE NO NEED FOR POPS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT.  POPS ALONG THE COAST ARE
QUESTIONABLE AS THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION PRESENTLY OVER THE
ATLANTIC. THE GFS INDICATES A LIGHT SOUTH LOW LEVEL FLOW
OVERNIGHT...BUT LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
WITH THE CUT OFF LOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA AND VERY MOIST LOW
LEVELS...WILL KEEP A SLIGHT POP ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR. SHOULD SEE CONVECTION REDEVELOP OFFSHORE AND POSSIBLY
AFFECT THE COASTAL TERMINALS...ESPECIALLY KMLB-KSUA.  IF THERE IS
ENOUGH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE INTERIOR...PATCHY FOG
MAY DEVELOP IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT/WED...WEAKENING ATLC RIDGE WILL SLACKEN THE PRES GRAD
ACROSS THE WATERS SO SE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO 5-10 KNOTS LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY WED. PERSISTENT E/NE SWELL WILL KEEP SEAS A LITTLE
HIGHER...3-4 FEET...THAN WHAT WOULD BE EXPECTED IN SUCH WIND FLOW.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

FORECASTS...LASCODY
IMPACT WX/RADAR...BOWEN