Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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AXUS72 KMLB 252250
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FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-270000-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
650 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

...Drought Conditions Worsening Across East Central Florida...

Synopsis...

Below normal rainfall has occurred across east central Florida since
October 2016, especially after Hurricane Matthew, as rainfall with
cold fronts has been limited over the region. The lack of rainfall
coupled with a warmer than normal winter has allowed for severe
drought conditions (D2) to develop over Okeechobee County. Moderate
drought (D1) conditions extend across much of the remainder of east
central Florida, except for Lake County, western portions of Orange
and Seminole counties and northern Volusia County, where abnormally
dry conditions (D0) exist.


Summary of Impacts...

State and Local Impacts:
According to the Florida Division of Forestry...a burn ban is in
effect for Okeechobee County.

Soil Moisture Conditions:
The highest Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) values are across
the southern parts of east central Florida. KBDI values are
running above 500 from Osceola and Indian River counties southward,
with the highest values (above 600) across Okeechobee County and
western sections of Martin, St Lucie and Indian River counties as
well as southern Osceola county.

Groundwater Conditions:
The latest groundwater conditions from the United States Geological
Survey (USGS) as of Friday, March 24 indicate normal to much below
normal groundwater levels for this time of year

River and Stream Flow Conditions:
The latest seven day average streamflow from the USGS as of Friday,
March 24 indicates normal to much below normal streamflow for this
time of year, with a moderate hydrologic drought in areas of low
streamflow, including the middle St Johns River Basin.

Fire Danger Hazards:
According to the National Interagency Fire Center, the potential
for significant wildland fires in above normal for all of east
central Florida.


Climate Summary...

Here are the latest rainfall statistics for select sites across east
central Florida:

Since October 1, 2016:

Station         Observed      Normal      Departure    Percent of
                Rainfall     Rainfall    From Normal     Normal

Daytona Beach    13.85"       18.34"       -4.49"          76%
Orlando           8.37"       15.66"       -7.29"          53%
Melbourne        12.21"       17.88"       -5.67"          68%
Vero Beach       10.54"       18.73"       -8.19"          56%
Clermont         11.76"       16.15"       -4.39"          73%
Lisbon           10.00"       16.44"       -6.44"          61%
DeLand           13.22"       18.89"       -5.67"          70%
Sanford WP       15.40"       17.74"       -2.34"          87%
Titusville WP    16.78"       18.85"       -2.07"          89%
Fort Pierce WP   10.59"       19.44"       -8.85"          54%
Stuart WP        11.11"       22.83"      -11.72"          49%
Kenansville       6.80"        N/A          N/A            N/A
Kiss. Prairie     6.85"        N/A          N/A            N/A

Past 90 Days (Ending March 24, 2017):

Station         Observed      Normal      Departure    Percent of
                Rainfall     Rainfall    From Normal     Normal

Daytona Beach     5.14"        9.52"       -4.38"          54%
Orlando           3.08"        8.23"       -5.15"          37%
Melbourne         5.41"        7.97"       -2.56"          68%
Vero Beach        3.85"        8.91"       -5.06"          43%
Clermont          4.50"        9.46"       -4.96"          48%
Lisbon            6.61"        9.64"       -3.03"          69%
DeLand            5.55"       10.08"       -4.53"          55%
Sanford WP        5.25"        9.54"       -4.29"          55%
Titusville WP     5.15"        9.33"       -4.18"          55%
Fort Pierce WP    4.23"        8.87"       -4.64"          48%
Stuart WP         5.20"       10.47"       -5.27"          50%
Kenansville       2.80"        N/A          N/A            N/A
Kiss. Prairie     1.80"        N/A          N/A            N/A


Precipitation and Temperature Outlook...

The Climate Prediction Center`s (CPC) 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks,
which cover the period through late March to early April, indicate
higher chances for above normal temperatures and near to above
normal precipitation across the area.

Three Month Outlook (April-May-June): Currently CPC is forecasting
greater odds for above normal temperatures during this period, with
equal chances for above, near, and below normal precipitation. The
wet season, characterized by more daily occurrence of sea breeze
generated showers and storms, typically begins around late May
across east central Florida. As long as there is no significant
delay to the wet season, then rainfall deficits should gradually
improve into the summer.

Next Issuance Date...

The next drought statement will be issued in mid April, or sooner if
significant changes in drought conditions occur.

&&

Related Web Sites...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found at
the following web sites:

U.S. Drought Monitor: http://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu
U.S. Drought Portal: http://www.drought.gov
Southeast Regional Climate Center: http://www.sercc.com
Climate Prediction Center: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Florida Division of Forestry: http://www.freshfromflorida.com/
Division-Offices/Florida-Forest-Service
South Florida Water Management District: http://www.sfwmd.gov
Saint Johns River Water Management District: http://www.sjrwmd.com
United State Geological Survey Orlando: http://fl.water.usgs.gov
NWS Melbourne Dry Season Outlook: www.weather.gov/mlb/mlbnino

Acknowledgments: Information for this report was provided by the
following: The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center,
Florida Division of Forestry, National Drought Mitigation Center,
the United States Geological Survey, South Florida Water Management
District, Saint Johns River Water Management District, and the
National Weather Service in Melbourne.

If you have any questions or comments on this drought information
statement, please contact:

National Weather Service Melbourne
421 Croton Rd
Melbourne FL 32935
Phone: 321-255-0212
Email: sr-mlb.webmaster@noaa.gov
Website: www.weather.gov/mlb

$$

Weitlich/Glitto


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