Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 171123
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SCOL Unit 3D...Seminole County Fire Dept
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
623 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Any morning fog in the area should be shallow. A
strong cold front will sweep across the burn site early in the
afternoon, which will increase the surface and transport layer
wind flow, with surface winds becoming gusty.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 12 to 15 mph
                    gusting up to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 7 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  34  34  34  34  34  31  31  31  31  31
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  46  49  51  54  57  61  64  63  62  61  58
RH..............96  96  90  85  80  71  63  56  55  54  53  56
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   8   10  12  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.                        11  13  16  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   5   7   9   13  15  16  18  20
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   3   4   11  24  37  42  44  45  42
LVORI...........8   7   6   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....35 decreasing to 13.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........31     8      8      8      0      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............54     48     43     38     35     34
RH..............60     62     60     59     56     52
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 12  NW 13  NW 12  NW 12  NW 10
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   800    800    700    600    400
Transport wind..NW 21  NW 21  NW 17  NW 15  NW 14  NW 13
Dispersion idx..35     15     13     11     10     10
LVORI...........1      2      2      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph decreasing to around 7 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 29 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 21 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........0         12        12        11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............33        38        47        52
RH..............60        59        53        50
20 FT wind......NW 10     N 10      N 12      N 10
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1400      2000      2400
Transport wind..N 14      N 16      N 16      N 9
Dispersion idx..11        29        40        23
LVORI...........2         2         1         2

$$
Forecaster...Cristaldi
Requested by...Kevin Beavers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800479.0/MLB
.EMAIL kbeavers@seminolecountyfl.gov


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