Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
538
FNUS74 KMOB 141123
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for DeSoto Block 7207 Buttercup Flats...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
623 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 76 EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers and storms today will be followed by
dry conditions through midweek. Afternoon relative humidity values
remain above critical levels today and Wednesday. Westerly transport
winds around 15 mph today will shift west-northwesterly on Wednesday.
Dispersion index values will be generally good today and good on
Wednesday.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected tonight with
visibility remaining above 7 miles.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....36 increasing to 54 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 becoming 1.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........70 57 57 32
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 10 10
LAL.............2 2 1 1
Temp............75 79 84 84
RH..............87 77 64 63
20 FT wind dir..W WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..13 14 14 14
20 FT wind gust.17 20 21 22
Mix hgt (ft)....1900 2800 4000 4300
Mix hgt (m).....580 850 1220 1310
Transp wind dir.SW WSW W W
Transp wind spd.14 15 15 16
Trans wind dir..SW WSW W W
Trans spd (m/s).6 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..31 37 50 54
LVORI...........4 3 2 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....54 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 becoming 7.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........19 15 13 12 9 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............83 77 71 69 67 65
RH..............63 76 87 90 93 93
20 FT wind dir..WSW WSW W W W W
20 FT wind spd..12 7 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.17 12 9 9 9 8
Mix hgt (ft)....4300 400 400 400 400 400
Mix hgt (m).....1310 120 120 120 120 120
Transp wind dir.W W W W W WNW
Transp wind spd.13 8 7 8 9 9
Trans wind dir..W W W W W WNW
Trans spd (m/s).6 4 3 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..54 6 3 4 4 4
LVORI...........1 4 5 6 6 7
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1646 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 76.
LVORI...............8 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........10 7 0 1 1 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 67 78 84 88 89
RH..............97 90 62 46 38 37
20 FT wind dir..W WNW WNW WNW WNW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 9 13 14 13
20 FT wind gust.8 9 14 18 20 20
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1000 3300 4500 5100 5400
Mix hgt (m).....120 300 1010 1370 1550 1650
Transp wind dir.WNW NW W WNW WNW NW
Transp wind spd.8 8 14 17 17 16
Trans wind dir..WNW NW W WNW WNW NW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 6 8 8 7
Dispersion idx..4 10 53 69 76 76
LVORI...........8 5 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414012.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov