Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
280 FNUS53 KMQT 160931 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 ...Light rain showers and a rumble of thunder today through tonight... .DISCUSSION: As a low pressure moves into Lake Superior today, light rain showers move through the area from west to east the rest of today through tonight, with possibly a rumble of thunder or two heard in the afternoon and evening hours. Overall, not much more than a couple tenths of an inch of rainfall is expected, so this shouldn`t alleviate drought concerns over the west and east all that much. In addition, with the far east being near rain free today, we could see some limited elevated fire weather concerns in the interior far east as min RHs dip to around 30%. However, with winds generally being 15 mph or less, no SPS for elevated fire weather conditions was issued. Expect a full RH recovery tonight across the area as the low`s cool front moves through. Dry conditions return Friday, although fire weather concerns are not expected as temperatures will be cooler and RHs higher. MIZ001-003-170945- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....56-61 inland to around 53 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.12 inch. Hours of Sun........2. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 43. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......33 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the southwest late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....66-71 inland to around 58 at the shore. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph shifting to the east 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ002-009-084-170945- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 /431 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon, then a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.04-0.24 inch. Hours of Sun........2. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........97-100 percent inland to 89 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......46 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 75 inland to around 67 at the shore. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ004-005-170945- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of showers 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 45. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to 8 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. LAL.................2 until 0200, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 74 inland to around 61 at the shore. Min humidity........44-49 percent inland to 53 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast late. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ010-011-170945- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 431 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.13 inch. Hours of Sun........2. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1700, then 1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 45. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 5 mph or less late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ012-170945- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 431 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by late morning. A slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 5 mph or less late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.19 inch. LAL.................3 until 2100, then 2 until 2200, then 3 until 2300, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Max temperature.....Around 75 inland to around 66 at the shore. Min humidity........44-49 percent inland to 56 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ006-007-085-170945- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 40 percent. Max temperature.....65-70 inland to around 63 at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........32-37 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 3 to 8 mph late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.11 inch. LAL.................2 until 0500, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers early. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72 inland to around 59 at the shore. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 3 to 8 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ013-170945- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........40-45 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5 mph or less late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch. LAL.................2 until 0500, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 73 inland to around 63 at the shore. Min humidity........47-52 percent inland to 57 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ014-095-170945- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....64-69 inland to around 60 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph decreasing to 5 mph or less late. PCPN amount.........None to 0.12 inch. LAL.................2 until 0500, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers early. Chance of showers 20 percent. Max temperature.....68-73 inland to around 62 at the shore. Min humidity........50-55 percent inland to 62 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. $$ MIZ096-097-170945- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Max temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........34-39 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of thunderstorms by midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 48. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.15 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0200, then 3 until 0500, then 2. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 69 inland to around 63 at the shore. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................3 until 0900, then 2 until 1100, then 1. $$ MIZ088-170945- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Max temperature.....63-68. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 48. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.16 inch. LAL.................1 until 0200, then 3 until 0500, then 2. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy by the afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms early. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....63-68. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1. $$ MIZ086-087-170945- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 531 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Max temperature.....66-71 inland to around 64 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........31-36 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. A slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Min temperature.....Around 49. 24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer. Max humidity........94-99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.16 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0500, then 1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 69 inland to around 60 at the shore. Min humidity........53-58 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest at 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................2 until 1100, then 1. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Lows 45 to 50. Highs 78 to 83 inland to around 70 at the Lake Michigan shore. South winds 4 to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 74 to 79 inland to around 64 at the shore. West winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows around 49. Highs 73 to 78 inland to around 65 at the shore. South winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows 47 to 52. Highs 70 to 75 inland to around 60 at the shore. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 61 to 66 inland to around 55 at the Lake Superior shore. .Outlook for Thu May 23 through Wed May 29...expect near normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 2 VERY LOW / 2700 / S 14 / 378 (G) 200301 / KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 2400 / S 27 / 648 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW / 2600 / S 27 / 702 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 1900 / S 23 / 437 (G) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 4 LOW / 2900 / S 21 / 609 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW / 3100 / S 20 / 620 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW / 2500 / S 23 / 575 (G) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 2700 / S 18 / 486 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 2700 / S 20 / 540 (G) 201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 4900 / SE 18 / 882 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW / 3400 / S 25 / 850 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 5200 / SE 17 / 884 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 5300 / SE 16 / 848 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 4000 / S 19 / 760 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 4700 / SE 19 / 893 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 2500 / S 19 / 475 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2400 / SW 19 / 456 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 2 VERY LOW / 2200 / S 24 / 528 (G) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / SE 11 / 528 (G) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 500 / S 20 / 100 (P) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Fri... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4900 / W 6 / 294 (F) 200301 / KENTON/ 4 LOW / 6200 / W 13 / 806 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 6200 / W 13 / 806 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 3 VERY LOW / 2100 / W 9 / 189 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4700 / W 10 / 470 (G) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4700 / W 10 / 470 (G) 200703 / GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW / 5100 / W 12 / 612 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5400 / W 11 / 594 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 4 LOW / 5800 / W 13 / 754 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 4800 / W 6 / 288 (F) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 6000 / W 11 / 660 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 4700 / W 6 / 282 (F) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 4600 / SW 5 / 230 (F) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 5600 / W 10 / 560 (G) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / W 9 / 477 (G) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 4000 / W 9 / 360 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 7100 / W 13 / 923 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 7100 / W 13 / 923 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 1600 / S 4 / 64 (P) / KEW/ 3 VERY LOW / 800 / W 16 / 128 (P) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 62/ 51/ 5/ 11/ SE/0.01 200301 / KENTON/ 60/ 60/ 5/ 10/ S/0.04 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 60/ 60/ 6/ 12/ S/0.03 201004 / MUNISING/ 60/ 42/ 5/ 8/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 63/ 38/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 63/ 37/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 60/ 47/ 7/ 11/ SE/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 61/ 49/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 60/ 59/ 4/ 12/ SE/0.02 201504 / RACO/ 67/ 34/ 6/ 10/ SE/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 61/ 54/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.02 201401 / REXTON/ 67/ 33/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 67/ 33/ 7/ 11/ SE/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 65/ 36/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 66/ 35/ 6/ 12/ S/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 62/ 42/ 6/ 10/ SE/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 58/ 66/ 7/ 13/ S/0.10 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 58/ 65/ 7/ 12/ S/0.06 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 66/ 41/ 3/ 8/ SE/0.00 / KEW/ 57/ 59/ 6/ 15/ E/0.00 $$ TAP