Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 010531 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 131 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016 .AVIATION...
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JET DYNAMICS IS PLACING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY UNDER THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET. THIS DIFLUENCE ALONG WITH CAPES OF 500-1000 JKG IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS LIFT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY 12Z...SO CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH. BESIDES THE CONVECTION...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES...BUT ESPECIALLY TRI THIS MORNING. FOR TODAY...CLOUD COVERAGE WILL DIMINISH WITH VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS. PLENTY OF MIXING AND INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW AIRMASS TO BECOME FAIRLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LACK OF LIFTING MECHANISM WILL LIMIT COVERAGE OF STORMS. WILL INCLUDE VCTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE OF THE SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY WITH SUSTAIN SPEEDS OF 10-15KTS AS PLENTY OF MIXING ANTICIPATED.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 64 79 63 78 / 80 60 40 40 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 63 79 63 77 / 80 70 50 30 OAK RIDGE, TN 63 79 63 77 / 80 60 40 30 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 60 77 59 76 / 90 70 60 20 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ MJB

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