Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 290653 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 300 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE. A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WEAK LIFT WILL PRODUCE LIGHT PRECIPITATION...MAINLY THIS MORNING. CLEARING EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH SOME FOG FORMATION EXPECTED. MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST. .LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN EARLY IN THE EXTENDED FOR A QUIET AND WARM WEATHER PATTERN TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MAIN SYSTEM OF CONCERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED WILL BE A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON FRIDAY. MODELS TRENDING A BIT FASTER AND COULD SEE PRECIP PUSH IN THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT MAIN BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONVECTION SHOULD EXIT THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH COOL DRY AIR FILTERING IN FOR THE WEEKEND. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 79 60 83 61 / 50 20 10 0 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 78 58 81 58 / 50 20 10 0 OAK RIDGE, TN 78 58 81 59 / 50 10 10 0 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 76 54 78 54 / 70 20 10 0 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ SON/MJB

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