Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 270535 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 135 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014 .AVIATION... CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WITH A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. AREA RADARS REVEAL A DECAYING MCS OVER SOUTHEAST KY AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TN...WHICH MAY TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AROUND KTRI AND KTYS EARLY THIS MORNING. AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MCS SHOULD KEEP ANY FOG FROM DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AT THE TAF SITES. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE AND BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES THE REGION. SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DEVELOPING AROUND KTRI AND KTYS THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN AROUND KCHA BY THIS EVENING. FOR NOW...WILL MENTION VCTS SINCE THE EXACT TIMING AT THE TAF SITES REMAINS PROBLEMATIC. OVERALL...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY CONVECTION THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DMG

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