Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 301503 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1100 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015 .DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY. UPPER TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE REGION WITH THE AIR MASS EXPECTED TO BECOME AT LEAST MODERATELY UNSTABLE. LOW LOEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING AND CAPE VALUES WILL BE GREATER THE 2000J/KG. ALL THIS WILL AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG TO POTENITALLY SEVERE STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. ALSO...WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW ELVEL MOISTURE...PW VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.5 INCHES AND HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. CURRENT FOREDAST OF HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS LOOKS GOOD...WILL UPDATE TO REMOVE MORNING WORDING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 85 69 84 70 / 60 60 60 70 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 83 67 81 68 / 60 60 60 70 OAK RIDGE, TN 83 66 80 67 / 60 60 60 70 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 81 64 79 64 / 60 60 60 70 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ MJB

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