Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 140136 AAB AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 936 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014 .DISCUSSION...
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A QUIET EVENING CONTINUES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AS HIGH PRESSURE HAS GENERALLY SUPPRESSED ANY AFTERNOON CONVECTION... RESULTING IN A MOSTLY DRY DAY ACROSS THE REGION. THERE ARE A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THAT COULD MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PLATEAU BEFORE MIDNIGHT...BUT GENERALLY SPEAKING THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN DRY FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. TO THE NORTH...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT HAS KICKED OFF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE OHIO RIVER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH TOWARD THE KENTUCKY/VIRGINIA/TENNESSEE STATE BORDERS LATE TONIGHT...AND CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN ZONES AROUND DAYBREAK. GIVEN THE LATEST SPEED AND TRAJECTORY OF THIS ACTIVITY...THINK THAT IT WILL MOSTLY STAY OUT OF THE REGION UNTIL AFTER 12Z...BUT HAVE A SOLID CHANCE POPS ALONG THE NORTHERN ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF THIS ACTIVITY ARRIVING EARLIER. ADDITIONALLY...HAVE REMOVED MENTIONABLE POPS FROM THE FAR SOUTHERN PLATEAU/VALLEY AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AS THINK THAT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH UNTIL AFTER DAYBREAK.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 72 91 72 83 / 10 60 70 60 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 71 90 71 82 / 20 60 70 60 OAK RIDGE, TN 71 90 71 82 / 30 60 70 60 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 68 89 68 81 / 30 60 70 60
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ AMP

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