Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 080202 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 902 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016 .DISCUSSION...SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AT MID EVENING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AFTER HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 50S TODAY TEMPERATURES HAD ONLY FALLEN INTO THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S EARLY THIS EVENING. NEXT SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT FROM THE GREAT LAKES WITH CLOUDS SLOWLY INCREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT NOW MOVING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. SHORT TERM MODELS NOW SHOWING PRECIPITATION MOVING IN A FEW HOURS LATER. BECAUSE OF THAT HAVE LOWERED PRECIPITATION CHANCES SLIGHTLY AND SLOWED RAIN/SNOW START TO AFTER 06Z AND MAINLY 09Z-12Z MONDAY. LOWERED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE 06-12Z PERIOD AS WELL. SOME WIND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES UP A FEW DEGREES THIS EVENING SO ADJUSTED HOURLY TEMPERATURES UP SLIGHTLY. DEW POINT TEMPERATURES ARE STILL QUITE LOW THOUGH. IF TEMPERATURES DROP SLOWER THAN EXPECTED INITIAL PRECIPITATION TYPE MAY STAY AS RAIN WITH START EXCEPT AT HIGHEST ELEVATIONS AND THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE CURRENT TEMPERATURES ARE CODEST. WILL UPDATE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY SOON WITH NO CHANGES TO CURRENT ADVISORY. && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY. TN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HANCOCK-HAWKINS- JOHNSON-MORGAN-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-SCOTT TN-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER- SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION- WASHINGTON TN. VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-WASHINGTON-WISE. && $$ TD

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