Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 211514 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1114 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2014 .DISCUSSION...
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AIR MASS CONTINUING TO GET MORE AND MORE MOIST AGAIN WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES EXPECTED TO GROW SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST IN THE UPPER FLOW AROUND THE WEAK CUTOFF LOW SOUTH OF HERE...NEAR THE NORTHERN GA/AL BORDER. ROUND OF STORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...NOW IS MOVING WEST OF THE AREA AND WEAKENING. EXPECTING MORE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...WITH BEST CHANCES OVER THE SOUTH AGAIN...AS WELL AS THE MOUNTAINS...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT ON THE PLATEAU. WEAK EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD TRY TO BRING MOUNTAIN STORMS INTO THE VALLEY...SO KEEPING SOME POPS IN THE VALLEY AS WELL. SHAVED OFF 1-2 DEGREES FROM MAX TEMPS TODAY...MORESO SOUTH...AS DEBRIS CLOUDS AND RELATIVELY LOW CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES LIMIT HEATING.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 85 70 88 71 / 30 20 30 20 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 85 70 87 69 / 50 20 30 20 OAK RIDGE, TN 85 69 87 69 / 30 20 30 20 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 84 65 85 66 / 30 20 40 20
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ GM

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