Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 231742 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 142 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017 .AVIATION... Main aviation concerns are expected development of strong/severe thunderstorms late this afternoon/evening, IFR ceilings developing tonight through Saturday morning, and strong gusty winds today ahead of storms. The circulation around the remnants of Cindy is producing very favorable hodographs/shear for rotating updrafts. Main limitation is instability. As mid-level dry slot continues to move into the Region instability will increase with MLCAPE increasing to 400-800 J/kg. Low CAPE and high shear environment will be conducive to the potential of low topped supercells. Also strong low-level jet of 50-60kts later today will increase the potential of damaging winds due to bow radar features. Tornado watch has been issued for the western half of the area through 01Z. && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. TN...Wind Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for Blount Smoky Mountains- Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains. VA...None. && $$

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