Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS64 KMRX 040754 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 354 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN OVERALL PATTERN THIS MORNING AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. NOT AS MUCH SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME FRIDAY AND AMOUNTS ARE LOWER THAN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT STILL OCCURRING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS. STATIONARY FRONT STILL LIES TO THE NORTH WITH UPPER TROUGH DRAPED OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY. WATER VAPOR AND IR SATELLITE SHOWING SHORT WAVE DIGGING THROUGH KANSAS INTO THE TROUGH AND THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE FIRING FROM OK THROUGH AR INTO MS AND AL EARLY THIS MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD SPREAD INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATER TODAY AS THIS SHORTWAVE SHOULD ENHANCE SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER INCH OR MORE OF RAIN COULD FALL WHICH WOULD AGGRAVATE FLOODING ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN VALLEY AND PLATEAU. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY SO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS EXTENDED ANOTHER 24 HOURS. TEMPERATURES AGAIN LIKE FRIDAY MOSTLY MID TO UPPER 70S. TONIGHT NORTHEAST AREA COULD BE NORTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SO HAVE POPS SLIGHTLY LOWER THERE. .LONG TERM...WIDESPREAD RAIN CONTINUES INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED. MODELS BRING AN UPPER LOW THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY FOR LIKELY POPS. MODELS SLOWLY PULL THE LOW OUT OF THE AREA ON MONDAY...NAM GENERALLY WETTER THAN THE GFS...BUT HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS STILL ON TRACK FOR EARLY MONDAY. WEAK RIDGING ON TUESDAY WILL PROVIDE OUR BEST CHANCE FOR SOME DRY CONDITIONS ...THOUGH DIURNAL SCATTERED CONVECTION STILL POSSIBLE. UNSETTLE WEATHER CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES IN WEDNESDAY...THEN A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES PUSHES THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR A CONTINUED CHANGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 80 69 82 68 / 80 70 70 50 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 78 67 80 66 / 80 70 70 60 OAK RIDGE, TN 79 67 80 66 / 70 60 70 50 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 78 65 77 63 / 70 50 70 60 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY. TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE- BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-HANCOCK- HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-MEIGS- MORGAN-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-RHEA-ROANE-SCOTT TN- SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER- SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION- WASHINGTON TN-WEST POLK. VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT- WASHINGTON-WISE. && $$ TD/MJB

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.