Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231933
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry again and warmer tomorrow. A weak cold front moves
through on Saturday with low chances of light rain across mainly
higher elevations, but most areas stay dry. Cooler on Sunday behind
the front.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+3)   55-60 (+4)   34-39        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+7)   32-37 (-1)   93-98        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5 G16     W  8 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     W 14
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  6 G16     W  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+3)   52-57 (+2)   32-37        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+5)   33-38 (+1)   90-95        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G23
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)                S  5                      W 16
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-242045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (0)    53-58 (+3)   35-40        50-55
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 40-45 (+2)   79-84        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5 G16     W  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     W 14
Dispersion                         6 Very poor               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         S  7 G16     W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-242045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (0)    57-62 (+3)   36-41        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  40-45 (+3)   90-95        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     NW  8
Dispersion                         11 Poor                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         NW  8

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-242045-
Nantahala National Forest-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (0)    57-62 (+1)   34-39        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  41-46 (+6)   91-96        50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                2200                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      NW 10
DISPERSION                         10 Poor                   12 Poor
MAX LVORI                          7                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 30. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-
East Tennessee District East-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+1)   57-62 (+5)   34-39        53-58
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  33-38 (-1)   93-98        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G18
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      2000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     W 14
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. West winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-
East Tennessee District West-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      28-33 (0)    57-62 (+6)   38-43        52-57
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 37-42 (-1)   86-91        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5 G15     W  6
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     W 10
Dispersion                         18 Gen poor               15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  6 G15     W  8

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. North winds less than
10 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242045-
Cumberland District South-
233 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017 /133 PM CST Thu Nov 23 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      29-34 (0)    58-63 (+5)   38-43        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 38-43 (+3)   88-93        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2500                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     W  8
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         NW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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