Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 220950 AAA
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF COAST REGION
TODAY AND THEN NORTHEAST TO NEAR THE EAST COAST BY MONDAY.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (-3) 39-44 (+4) 50-55
RH % (24H TREND) 50-55 (+8) 95-100 (+10) 73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 5 E 5 SE 5
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.12 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 SE 10
DISPERSION 16 GEN POOR 9 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 50-55 (-3) 39-44 (+6) 48-53
RH % (24H TREND) 55-60 (+11) 95-100 (+5) 78-83
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) SE 5 SE 9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SE 7 E 7 G15 SE 6
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 70 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.24 0.03
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 17 SE 10
DISPERSION 8 POOR 4 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-231100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 47-52 (-5) 40-45 (+6) 48-53
RH % (24H TREND) 69-74 (+27) 95-100 (+3) 80-85
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 30
PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.13 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 S 3
DISPERSION 3 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PATCHY
DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-231100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-8) 42-47 (+7) 51-56
RH % (24H TREND) 74-79 (+36) 95-100 (+2) 77-82
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 80 20
PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.10 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 S 7
DISPERSION 6 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-231100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 42-47 (+8) 52-57
RH % (24H TREND) 78-83 (+43) 95-100 (0) 72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 80 20
PRECIP DURATION 6 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.25 0.13 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 8
DISPERSION 4 VERY POOR 5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (-4) 40-45 (+7) 50-55
RH % (24H TREND) 56-61 (+14) 95-100 (+3) 76-81
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.13 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 4 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 7
DISPERSION 21 FAIR 9 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (-6) 42-47 (+6) 51-56
RH % (24H TREND) 63-68 (+21) 94-99 (+4) 72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.06 0.02
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 4 2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 13 S 5
DISPERSION 15 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
450 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 /350 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009/
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-9) 43-48 (+5) 51-56
RH % (24H TREND) 71-76 (+31) 95-100 (+7) 76-81
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 20
PRECIP DURATION 6 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.05 0.03
LAL 1 1 1
LASI 3 2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 S 9
DISPERSION 14 GEN POOR 11 POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
