Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS54 KMRX 250752
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Cold front and associated showers will move through the area this
morning. The precipitation will begin to taper off by midday as the
front moves south and east of the area. This front will again
approach the area from the south tonight into Monday bringing
increased chance of rain to the start of the work week. Although
temperatures will cool a bit after the frontal passage, they still
remain above seasonal normals.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-10)  40-45 (-15)  55-60
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-3)   87-92 (+1)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G24                 N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      N  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          40           20
Precip duration       3            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            4 PM         Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.28         0.02         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 23                      N  7
Dispersion            79 Good                   16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 11 G24                 N  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      N  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-10)  42-47 (-11)  53-58
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+3)   93-98 (+11)  48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 10 G28                  N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G22     LGT/VAR      N  6
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           60           50
Precip duration       5            3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.34         0.15         0.07
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   W 22                      NW  7
Dispersion            52 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G28                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G22     LGT/VAR      N  8

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West
winds 5 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-260900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-9)   42-47 (-10)  53-58
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (+7)   95-100 (+10) 49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW 11 G43                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G22    SW  5 G18    NE  6 G16
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           70           50
Precip duration       5            3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.65         0.32         0.05
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2100                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N  6
Dispersion            34 Fair                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 14 G43                 NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G22    SW  7 G18    NE  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds
5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-260900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-11)  46-51 (-9)   58-63
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (+3)   95-100 (+6)  50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  9 G29                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    N  5 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          80           40
Precip duration       5            5            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.73         0.46         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2600                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 15                     N  7
Dispersion            32 Fair                   12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 11 G29                 NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW  6 G15    N  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 10 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-260900-
Nantahala National Forest-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-10)  46-51 (-8)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   95-100 (+5)  52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G27                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           50
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.56         0.04
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   2300                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     N  6
DISPERSION            23 Fair                   13 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             5                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G27                  N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260900-
East Tennessee District East-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-12)  44-49 (-12)  57-62
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (+8)   89-94 (+4)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW  8 G22                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     100          60           30
Precip duration       3            2            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   4 PM
Precip amount         0.36         0.09         0.04
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3900                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)   W 21                      N  5
Dispersion            71 Good                   11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 10 G22                 NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      NE  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 30s to mid 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 40. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260900-
East Tennessee District West-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-13)  43-48 (-14)  59-64
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-2)   89-94 (-4)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G27                  NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           50           20
Precip duration       3            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   4 PM
Precip amount         0.30         0.12         0.01
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      4300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3800                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 16                      N  6
Dispersion            51 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 11 G27                  NE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-260900-
Cumberland District South-
252 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018 /152 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (-12)  46-51 (-11)  61-66
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (-2)   94-99 (0)    43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  7 G26                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     80           60           20
Precip duration       3            3            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.27         0.29         0.01
LAL                   2            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3200                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      N  6
Dispersion            33 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  9 G26                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         SW  5        NE  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs near 60. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 40. Highs in the 60s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.