Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 310910
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL PROVIDE
DRY WEATHER AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION SUNDAY...THEN TRACK EAST AND
SPREAD RAIN INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
COLDER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION BY MONDAY MORNING BEHIND THE
PASSING COLD FRONT...AND MAY BRING A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+13)  24-29 (+8)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-23)  70-75 (-4)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.11
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 12
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 19. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  24-29 (+11)  44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-23)  66-71 (-3)   35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G21
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     S 10
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     S  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S 12 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 20. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-011000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  26-31 (+11)  43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      12-17 (-23)  65-70 (-5)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  5                     S 22
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 14 G32
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 18 G38

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-011000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  30-35 (+11)  46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-18)  76-81 (+2)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      S 21
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 13 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 16 TO 23. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-011000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  27-32 (+8)   46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-20)  81-86 (+7)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S 18
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  24-29 (+8)   47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-18)  75-80 (-1)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S  7
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 21. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   28-33 (+9)   45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-16)  74-79 (+1)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           80
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      1700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  2                      S 14
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO
UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 23. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
410 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   31-36 (+10)  47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  75-80 (+3)   52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.27
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      1600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     S 18
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TG/TD



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