Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261902
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A
COLD FRONT TRACKS THROUGH THE AREA.  THEN...DRY AND COOLER
CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   70-75 (-8)   44-49        69-74
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  37-42 (-16)  90-95        32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      8200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 16
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   86 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   68-73 (-7)   45-50        67-72
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  53-58 (-5)   95-100       27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.02         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 14
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      W  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR
50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-272015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   68-73 (-8)   48-53        66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  43-48 (-11)  90-95        26-31
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                8 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 16
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   63 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-272015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   73-78 (-8)   48-53        71-76
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  49-54 (0)    94-99        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           10           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 14
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   63 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      W  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-272015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   73-78 (-6)   46-51        71-76
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   54-59 (+2)   95-100       28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 14
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   66 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W  7 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   72-77 (-8)   45-50        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  40-45 (-10)  95-100       27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      W 15
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   76 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-8)   73-78 (-7)   48-53        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 31-36 (-20)  86-91        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM
PRECIP END            6 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W 16
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               89 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016 /202 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-7)   76-81 (-6)   49-54        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 34-39 (-14)  80-85        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM
PRECIP END            6 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W 15
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   80 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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