Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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407
FNUS54 KMRX 241917
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
SHIFT EAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY, ALLOWING A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA DURING THE
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+9)   69-74 (+2)   48-53        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+14)  35-40 (0)    88-93        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G18                  S  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G19     S  8 G16     S  7 G18     S  9 G22
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70           70
Precip duration                                 2            3
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.20
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      S 22
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   57 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G18                  S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G19     S 10         S  9 G18     S 12 G22

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (+10)  64-69 (+1)   47-52        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+6)   39-44 (-1)   91-96        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G20                  S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G23     S  9 G23     SE  9 G22    S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60           70
Precip duration                                 2            3
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.18
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      S 22
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G20                  S 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G23     S 12 G23     SE 11 G22    S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to
lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-252030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+8)   63-68 (+2)   48-53        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      79-84 (0)    41-46 (-6)   88-93        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G30                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G34     S 10 G25     S 10 G28     S 10 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           70
Precip duration                                 8            3
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.70         0.32
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 29
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   63 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G30                  S 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G34     S 13 G25     S 13 G28     S 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower
70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-252030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+8)   66-71 (+3)   51-56        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+3)   43-48 (-2)   90-95        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G28                  S  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G32    SE 13 G28    SE 10 G25    S 10 G23
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           90           70
Precip duration                    1            8            3
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.70         0.27
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      4500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 25                      S 25
Dispersion                         62 Good                   53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G28                  S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 14 G32    SE 16 G28    SE 13 G25    S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to lower
70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-252030-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   63-68 (+4)   49-54        63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   46-51 (-1)   93-98        58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  S  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G26    SE 11 G26    SE  9 G21    S  8 G21
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           70
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.67         0.24
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      S 21
DISPERSION                         46 Gen good               42 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  S 10 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G26    SE 14 G26    SE 11 G21    S 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252030-
East Tennessee District East-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+8)   70-75 (+2)   50-55        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+10)  37-42 (+2)   88-93        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G16                  S  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G15     S  8 G18     SE  7 G16    S  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70           70
Precip duration                                 2            3
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.23
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 20
Dispersion                         35 Fair                   53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G16                  S  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G15     S 10 G18     SE  8 G16    S 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252030-
East Tennessee District West-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+8)   69-74 (+2)   51-56        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      81-86 (+7)   41-46 (0)    89-94        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G26                  S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G22     S 10 G26     S  7 G18     SW 10 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           70
Precip duration                                 8            3
Precip begin                                    Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.64         0.32
LAL                   1            2            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      S 25
Dispersion                         70 Good                   65 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G26                  S 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G22     S 13 G26     S  9 G18     SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-252030-
Cumberland District South-
317 PM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017 /217 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+8)   68-73 (+1)   53-58        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (0)    46-51 (+1)   91-96        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G28                  S  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G24    SE 12 G28    SE  9 G22    S 10 G24
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           100          70
Precip duration                    1            8            3
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.71         0.24
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      S 23
Dispersion                         93 Good                   45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G28                  S 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G24    SE 16 G28    SE 11 G22    S 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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