Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 231906
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Rainfall will continue this evening before gradually tapering
off overnight.  Some light rain may linger across a few areas Monday
as an area of low pressure exits the region.  Monday will be a
transitional day with cloudy skies and seasonal temperatures.
Clouds will diminish Tuesday...with sunny skies expected by
the afternoon and highs temperatures above seasonal norms.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (0)    60-65 (+7)   46-51        70-75
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  61-66 (-11)  90-95        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E 10 G29                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 10 G28     E  9 G27     E  6 G18     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           50           20           0
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.61         0.05         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 10
Dispersion                         43 Gen good               34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E 13 G29                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 13 G28     E 12 G27     E  8 G18     E  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-3)   56-61 (+3)   45-50        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  66-71 (-1)   92-97        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E 11 G29                  N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 11 G32     E  9 G25     E  7 G20     N  5
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           70           30           20
Precip duration       7            3            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Precip amount         0.80         0.11         0.04         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)                E 20                      N  9
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E 14 G29                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 15 G32     E 11 G25     E  9 G20     N  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s
to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
80s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-242015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-4)   59-64 (+1)   46-51        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  63-68 (-2)   91-96        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E  6 G17                  N  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E  9 G26     NE  7 G16    NE  7 G16    N  5
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           60           20           0
Precip duration       5            2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.49         0.06         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                E 10                      N  7
Dispersion                         15 Gen poor               16 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E  8 G17                  N  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 11 G26     NE  8 G16    NE  9 G16    N  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to lower
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the 60s to
mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-242015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-2)   61-66 (+1)   49-54        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-2)   65-70 (-5)   92-97        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  5 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E  5 G15     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           50           0            0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.28         0.04         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4600                      5600
Transport wnd (mph)                N  7                      W  7
Dispersion                         14 Gen poor               21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  6 G15                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E  7 G15     NW  9 G17    N  5         NW  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
60s to upper 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-242015-
Nantahala National Forest-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   62-67 (+3)   48-53        72-77
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  64-69 (-7)   92-97        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      showers      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.07         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     W  8
DISPERSION                         13 Gen poor               24 Fair
MAX LVORI                          6                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     NW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G17     NW  6        N  5         NW  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-
East Tennessee District East-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-3)   63-68 (+7)   48-53        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+2)  59-64 (-11)  91-96        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E  9 G22                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G25    NE  8 G19    NE  6        LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           50           20           0
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.55         0.05         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                E 15                      NE  8
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E 11 G22                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 13 G25    NE  9 G19    NE  7        NE  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-
East Tennessee District West-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (-1)   63-68 (+7)   49-54        74-79
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-1)   62-67 (-13)  92-97        45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE 11 G27    N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip duration       3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.25         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 10                     SE  7
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  9                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 13 G27    N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-242015-
Cumberland District South-
306 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017 /206 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-2)   62-67 (+2)   50-55        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-2)   63-68 (-11)  92-97        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  7 G19    NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.17         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)                N  9                      SW  8
Dispersion                         23 Fair                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  N  8                      N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G19    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s
to upper 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South winds
up to 10 mph.

$$



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