Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
000
FNUS54 KMRX 210744
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

...Windy conditions across the Mountains and Foothills Monday
and Monday night...

Surface high pressure will continue to bring warm air into the
Southern Appalachian Region Today and Monday.  A cold front will
move into the area late Monday into Monday night and provide us with
likely rain showers chances and windy conditions across the
Mountains and adjacent foothills.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220845-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+7)   36-41 (+5)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (+12)  95-100 (+2)  57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S 10 G25
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3300                      2300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1300                      300
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     SE 20
Dispersion            11 Poor                   4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      SE  7 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         SE  5        S 12 G25

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
30s to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the 20s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220845-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (+6)   35-40 (+5)   54-59
RH % (24h trend)      56-61 (+12)  95-100 (+4)  58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G18     S 10 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8                     S 29
Dispersion            11 Poor                   3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  5                     S 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G18     S 13 G28

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 40s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-220845-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+6)   37-42 (+6)   54-59
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+5)   87-92 (-3)   58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G34
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G25     S 15 G41
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1600                      200
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     S 38
Dispersion            12 Poor                   5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW  6 G15                 S 14 G34
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         S 11 G25     S 19 G41

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs in the 30s to 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-220845-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (+5)   38-43 (+9)   56-61
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+3)   90-95 (-2)   61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G22    S 13 G33
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    10 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      2400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1500                      400
Transport wnd (mph)   S  7                      S 28
Dispersion            9 Poor                    7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  5                      S 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         SE  9 G22    S 16 G33

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to
lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-220845-
Nantahala National Forest-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   36-41 (+8)   54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   95-100 (0)   65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    S  9 G24
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      2500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   1200                      200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SE 24
DISPERSION            4 Very poor               4 Very poor
MAX LVORI             8                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6 G15    S 11 G24

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220845-
East Tennessee District East-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+7)   35-40 (+3)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (+9)   92-97 (+3)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1700                      700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  7                     S 18
Dispersion            11 Poor                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      E  5         S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the 20s to lower
30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to upper 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220845-
East Tennessee District West-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+4)   38-43 (+5)   58-63
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+12)  88-93 (-1)   60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            60
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3200                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      800
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 12                     S 20
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
30s to upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s to
lower 30s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-220845-
Cumberland District South-
244 AM EST Sun Jan 21 2018 /144 AM CST Sun Jan 21 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+4)   40-45 (+9)   57-62
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+11)  89-94 (-1)   64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    S 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70
Precip duration                                 2
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.28
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3100                      2100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   1900                      900
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     S 23
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         SE  6 G15    S 15 G28

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s to lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s to
lower 30s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.