Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 072020
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY...BEFORE A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT. A STRONG SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA BY THE
MONDAY...PROMOTING MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS AS WELL AS A CHANCE FOR
LIGHT SNOW HEADING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   37-42 (-9)   19-24        24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+10)  60-65 (+29)  91-96        53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  5         W  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.21         0.08         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 17
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  7         W 10 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO 20.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 16 TO
26. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 13. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 29. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   35-40 (-7)   17-22        21-26
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   59-64 (+24)  95-100       56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  8 G17     W 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           80           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.10         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 22
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     W 11 G21     W 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 8 TO 18. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 14 TO
27. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 2 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-082130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   36-41 (-8)   16-21        21-26
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   55-60 (+23)  95-100       53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 W  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     W  8 G18     W  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           80           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.21         0.11         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 21
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 W 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     W 10 G22     W 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS 3 TO 20. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
12 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS ZERO TO 14 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-082130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   39-44 (-8)   20-25        25-30
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+13)  55-60 (+25)  90-95        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     W  6         W  8
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           70           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.16         0.05         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 18
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   30 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 W  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W  8 G18     W 10 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 9 TO
19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-082130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   39-44 (-8)   20-25        25-30
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 54-59 (+23)  93-98        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  5         W  8
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.04         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 18
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 W  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     W  7 G16     W 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
10 TO 19. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
19 TO 29. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   39-44 (-8)   21-26        26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   57-62 (+25)  92-97        52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     W  6         W  9
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   FRZ RAIN     SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.18         0.07         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 18
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G17                 W 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W  8 G16     W 11 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 12 TO 21.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
17 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 5 TO 16. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   39-44 (-11)  21-26        26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+11)  54-59 (+27)  78-83        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  6         W  8
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.14         0.04         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 17
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   40 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G18                 W  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     W  7 G16     W  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
12 TO 21. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 17. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
320 PM EST SUN FEB 7 2016 /220 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   39-44 (-11)  21-26        28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+14)  48-53 (+20)  88-93        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9         W  7         W  8 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.03         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 18
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  W  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W  9 G17     W 11 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 13 TO 23. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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