Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 092024
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA TONIGHT...ALLOWING
A SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 16-21 (-15) 23-28 (-14) 14-19 29-34
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+8) 52-57 (-19) 94-99 45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 18 G30 W 9 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G23 W 18 G30 W 15 G27 W 7 G15
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 50 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.11 0.04 0.01
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 43 NW 24
DISPERSION 70 GOOD 14 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 15-20 (-14) 22-27 (-15) 13-18 28-33
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+9) 52-57 (-23) 95-100 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 20 G36 W 12 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 14 G30 W 21 G36 W 18 G34 W 10 G21
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 60 30
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.11 0.06 0.01
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 44 NW 28
DISPERSION 46 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-102130-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 15-20 (-15) 25-30 (-13) 13-18 31-36
RH % (24H TREND) 95-100 (+6) 44-49 (-26) 95-100 35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 18 G33 NW 7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 16 G31 NW 18 G33 NW 13 G27 NW 6
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 70 40 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.11 0.03 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 36 NW 20
DISPERSION 34 FAIR 5 VERY POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-102130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 19-24 (-16) 32-37 (-9) 17-22 37-42
RH % (24H TREND) 83-88 (-4) 37-42 (-28) 86-91 28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 14 G27 N 7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G24 NW 15 G27 NW 11 G21 N 7
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 0 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 31 N 21
DISPERSION 54 GEN GOOD 15 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-102130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 19-24 (-17) 32-37 (-11) 17-22 39-44
RH % (24H TREND) 84-89 (-2) 37-42 (-28) 88-93 25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 15 G27 N 7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 14 G25 NW 16 G28 N 11 G23 N 6 G15
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 0 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 3
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.05 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 37 N 29
DISPERSION 56 GEN GOOD 16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 20-25 (-12) 27-32 (-13) 17-22 33-38
RH % (24H TREND) 89-94 (+3) 45-50 (-23) 83-88 36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 18 G31 W 8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 13 G25 W 18 G31 W 13 G24 W 7
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 20 0
PRECIP DURATION 3 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.07 0.02 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 39 NW 17
DISPERSION 84 GOOD 19 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 20-25 (-12) 30-35 (-9) 17-22 35-40
RH % (24H TREND) 76-81 (-11) 39-44 (-23) 82-87 34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 16 G29 NW 6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G24 NW 16 G29 NW 10 G23 NW 5
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 0 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.05 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 37 NW 15
DISPERSION 87 GOOD 20 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
324 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2010 /224 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2010/
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 22-27 (-12) 35-40 (-5) 20-25 38-43
RH % (24H TREND) 69-74 (-19) 32-37 (-22) 75-80 30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 15 G27 N 7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G25 NW 15 G27 NW 11 G23 N 6
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 35 N 20
DISPERSION 88 GOOD 28 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$