Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 212010
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN
SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MAY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS
FOR CHRISTMAS EVE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   47-52 (0)    36-41        54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    56-61 (+7)   95-100       75-80
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                1 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     S 21
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        SE  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   44-49 (-2)   36-41        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   62-67 (+11)  95-100       74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        SE  7        SE  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.01         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 24
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 10 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7        SE  8 G17    SE 10 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-222115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   46-51 (+1)   41-46        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-8)   65-70 (+7)   95-100       73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17     S  9 G22
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           70
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.17
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 30
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    25 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S 12 G30
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     S 10 G21     S 12 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-222115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   50-55 (+3)   42-47        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   65-70 (+4)   95-100       75-80
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  8 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  7 G15    SE  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           80
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         0.28
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     S 26
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 11 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    SE  9 G19    SE 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MUCH
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-222115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   48-53 (0)    41-46        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   66-71 (+1)   95-100       76-81
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  6        SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         DRIZZLE      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            30           80
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         0.33
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     SE 20
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               8 POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         7
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  8 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  7 G15    SE  8 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   49-54 (-1)   38-43        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   55-60 (+7)   95-100       72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        CONTINUING                7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      S 18
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SE  6        SE  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   51-56 (+1)   41-46        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   53-58 (+9)   94-99        74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           60
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 24
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   34 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        SE  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   50-55 (+2)   43-48        54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    60-65 (+9)   95-100       73-78
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  6         SE  6
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           80
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            7 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         0.39
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 28
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     S  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8         S  7 G16     SE  9 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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