Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261847
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN UNSEASONABLY MILD. DRIER WEATHER
EXPECTED BY MID-WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (0)    70-75 (+3)   51-56        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+9)   42-47 (-9)   90-95        54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G16                 SW  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G16     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      W  8 G18
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           50           60           60
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.07         0.07         0.33         0.07
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     W 17
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               59 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G16                 SW  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G16     SW 10 G18    S  5         W  9 G18

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
near 50. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-1)   66-71 (+1)   49-54        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  45-50 (-5)   90-95        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G16     SW  6        S  5         W  8 G19
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60           60
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.07         0.05         0.28         0.07
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     W 21
Dispersion                         38 Fair                   56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G16     SW  7        S  6         W 11 G19

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-272000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-1)   65-70 (0)    50-55        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+6)   48-53 (-5)   91-96        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G21                 SW  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G19    SW 10 G24    SW  6 G18    W  8 G18
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           70           60
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.03         0.46         0.10
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 17                     W 20
Dispersion                         53 Gen good               47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  8 G21                 SW 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G19    SW 13 G24    SW  8 G18    W 10 G18

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s to mid
50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-272000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-3)   69-74 (+1)   54-59        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+6)   47-52 (-5)   91-96        48-53
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G19                  SW  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G25    S  5 G16     W  8 G16
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           70           40
Precip duration       1            1            2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.03         0.40         0.12
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6400                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     W 14
Dispersion                         68 Good                   34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G19                  SW  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW 13 G25    S  7 G16     W  9

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after
midnight.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-272000-
Nantahala National Forest-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   68-73 (+3)   51-56        68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+6)   51-56 (-7)   95-100       51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      W  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.43         0.13
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 14
DISPERSION                         58 Gen good               34 Fair
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    S  5         W  9

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-
East Tennessee District East-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-2)   72-77 (+1)   52-57        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+8)   42-47 (-3)   88-93        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G19    LGT/VAR      W  8 G17
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           60           60
Precip duration       1            1            2            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.06         0.40         0.07
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     W 17
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G16                 SW  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    S  5         W 10 G17

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
near 50. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s
to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-
East Tennessee District West-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (-2)   71-76 (+3)   54-59        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+7)   45-50 (-9)   90-95        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G19                 SW  7 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G23    S  5         W  8 G16
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           70           60
Precip duration       1            1            3            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.06         0.41         0.06
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4900                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 18                     W 15
Dispersion                         57 Gen good               54 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G19                 SW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW 12 G23    S  7         W  9

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid
50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272000-
Cumberland District South-
247 PM EDT Sun Mar 26 2017 /147 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (-4)   71-76 (+3)   55-60        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   46-51 (-9)   92-97        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  5 G19                  SW  8 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G25     S  6 G16     W  8 G17
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           70           40
Precip duration       1            1            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.02         0.06         0.37         0.07
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      W 14
Dispersion                         57 Gen good               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G19                  SW  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  5         S 13 G25     S  7 G16     W  9 G17

Remarks...A quick half inch or more of rain and brief strong gusty winds
will be possible with any thunderstorms.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to
lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.

$$


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