Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 050941
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA AND COLDER TEMPERATURES MOVE
IN...RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN THEN
SLEET DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE OVER
TO ALL SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE IN THE DAY.
LIGHT SNOW...SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.  MUCH COLDER
AIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN TONIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE
TEENS AND LOW 20S.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-24)  8-13 (-17)   34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-12)  91-96 (-5)   31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N  7
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G19                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  8 G16     W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 24. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-33)  9-14 (-21)   32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    85-90 (+3)   31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  8 G16     W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0
PRECIP DURATION       7            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N  9
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    N 10 G21     W  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-061045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-32)  11-16 (-20)  34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   86-91 (+2)   35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  8 G17     NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0
PRECIP DURATION       7            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N  9
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G22                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N 11 G22     NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-061045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-28)  15-20 (-17)  40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-4)   87-92 (-1)   33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  8 G16     NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N  8
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N 10 G20     NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-061045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-24)  16-21 (-22)  43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    95-100 (+13) 35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  7 G15     NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N  9
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             6                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G19     N  9 G19     NW  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-33)  12-17 (-18)  36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   80-85 (-5)   31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  7         W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       6
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      N  7
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G17                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  9 G17     W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 23. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-33)  12-17 (-15)  37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   83-88 (-8)   31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  7         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/FZ RA   NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N  7
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G18     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
441 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-33)  16-21 (-12)  40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-6)   77-82 (-13)  30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         N  8         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0
PRECIP DURATION       5
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      N  9
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G20                  N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G18     N 10 G18     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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