Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 180723
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY THIS WEEKEND...PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS
WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   56-61 (0)    75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+14)  95-100 (+6)  50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.16         0.50
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 14
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   56-61 (+1)   74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+12)  93-98 (0)    52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.21         0.56
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW  9
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   12 POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-190830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   56-61 (+2)   74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   91-96 (-2)   48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.21         0.35
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 13
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-190830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   58-63 (+2)   77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+10)  95-100 (+2)  57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  6         SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.19         0.34
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 13
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   26 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

NCZ060-061-190830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   57-62 (+2)   76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   93-98 (0)    56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.22         0.36
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 12
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   25 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         4

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   57-62 (0)    78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+13)  95-100 (+2)  51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           70
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.17         0.41
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 14
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   32 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   59-64 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+12)  93-98 (+1)   53-58
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.14         0.24
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 14
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   30 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
323 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013 /223 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   60-65 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   94-99 (0)    56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  5        SW  6
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.15         0.28
LAL                   5            4            4
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 14
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   34 FAIR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. LIGHT WINDS.

$$









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