Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 012011
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING
RAIN TO MOST OF THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL RETURN BACK NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...KEEPING A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
FORECAST.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   40-45 (-8)   30-35        50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 44-49 (-5)   87-92        66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           70
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   4 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.03         0.01         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S 16
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      SE  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS
17 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   43-48 (-6)   31-36        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   35-40 (-7)   82-87        62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 S 11 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.02         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 18
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 S 14 G27
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    N  5         LGT/VAR      S 14 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-022100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   44-49 (-1)   37-42        50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  45-50 (-9)   87-92        66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S 12 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G28
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           60
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.12         0.04         0.16
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S 20
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  S 15 G33
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 17 G35

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-022100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   46-51 (+1)   39-44        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 55-60 (-10)  94-99        69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE 10 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G21
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.16         0.06         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      S 17
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               10 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      SE 13 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-022100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  47-52 (0)    40-45        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  55-60 (-13)  95-100       74-79
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.18         0.06         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE 16
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               12 POOR
MAX LVORI                          9                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   45-50 (-7)   33-38        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   45-50 (+1)   81-86        65-70
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.01         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     S 13
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   10 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SE  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+3)   44-49 (-1)   34-39        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  44-49 (-13)  87-92        69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40           60
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.07         0.03         0.29
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  9                     S 15
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  5 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   43-48 (-3)   37-42        56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 56-61 (+1)   95-100       69-74
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.14         0.07         0.28
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               2                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     S 17
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      S  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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