Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 200715
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING..
BUT MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN. THE UNSTABLE AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
AND TUESDAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA WEDNESDAY PRODUCING LIKELY
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (+4) 58-63 (0) 80-85
RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (-15) 94-99 (+2) 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.01 0.09
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 SW 10
DISPERSION 26 FAIR 38 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 74-79 (+1) 56-61 (-1) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 49-54 (-12) 93-98 (+2) 41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 40
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.02 0.14
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 3 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 S 6
DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 19 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-210815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 74-79 (+2) 56-61 (-1) 79-84
RH % (24H TREND) 45-50 (-19) 89-94 (-3) 38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.02 0.17
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 SW 6
DISPERSION 15 GEN POOR 18 GEN POOR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-210815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (+5) 58-63 (-1) 83-88
RH % (24H TREND) 46-51 (-16) 95-100 (-1) 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 30
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.09
LAL 1 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 SW 9
DISPERSION 22 FAIR 36 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-210815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (+4) 55-60 (-3) 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 48-53 (-16) 95-100 (+2) 43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.19
LAL 1 1 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 S 9
DISPERSION 18 GEN POOR 33 FAIR
MAX LVORI 3 4
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 80-85 (+4) 58-63 (-1) 82-87
RH % (24H TREND) 42-47 (-17) 94-99 (+1) 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.01 0.10
LAL 3 3 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 SW 9
DISPERSION 21 FAIR 37 FAIR
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 82-87 (+6) 61-66 (+1) 84-89
RH % (24H TREND) 42-47 (-21) 89-94 (-2) 42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.04
LAL 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 14
DISPERSION 31 FAIR 55 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
315 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013 /215 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013/
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 83-88 (+5) 61-66 (0) 85-90
RH % (24H TREND) 43-48 (-20) 92-97 (-2) 40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 20
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM 12 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.02
LAL 3 2 3
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 14
DISPERSION 35 FAIR 60 GEN GOOD
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$