Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 300720
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT ANOTHER SUMMERLIKE DAY TODAY, BEFORE A COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH LATE NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY ALONG WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR AND MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN FOR TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (-3)   62-67 (-1)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      35-40 (-3)   83-88 (-1)   42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G26                  S 16 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G28     S 12 G31     SW 18 G41
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            20           60
Precip duration                    1            2
Precip begin                       5 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.32
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   S 24                      S 30
Dispersion            79 Good                   99 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G26                  S 19 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G28     S 15 G31     SW 23 G41

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-3)   60-65 (-1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-3)   88-93 (+3)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G27                  S 15 G36
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G30     S 13 G35     SW 17 G37
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.09         0.49
LAL                   2            3            5
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      S 30
Dispersion            63 Good                   66 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G27                  S 19 G36
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G30     S 17 G35     SW 21 G37

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. East winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-010830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-3)   60-65 (-1)   64-69
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-5)   83-88 (+1)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G33                  SW 19 G47
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G35     S 17 G46     SW 20 G48
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           80
Precip duration       1            1            4
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.20         0.48
LAL                   2            4            5
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 33                      S 37
Dispersion            77 Good                   92 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 17 G33                  SW 23 G47
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G35     S 21 G46     SW 26 G48

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight
chance of showers. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. East winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. East winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-010830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (-3)   61-66 (-2)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-2)   89-94 (+7)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G33                  SW 15 G39
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G35     S 16 G42     SW 19 G42
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           70           80
Precip duration       1            2            3
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.29         0.29
LAL                   2            5            5
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   S 32                      SW 30
Dispersion            91 Good                   99 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 17 G33                  SW 19 G39
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G35     S 20 G42     SW 23 G42

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-010830-
Nantahala National Forest-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   61-66 (0)    65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   92-97 (+4)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G28                  SW 14 G34
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G30     S 13 G35     SW 16 G37
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.40
LAL                   2            4            5
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      SW 26
DISPERSION            98 Good                   85 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G28                  SW 18 G34
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G30     S 17 G35     SW 20 G37

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. East winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010830-
East Tennessee District East-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (-3)   64-69 (+1)   70-75
RH % (24h trend)      36-41 (-2)   81-86 (-4)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G26                  S 13 G32
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G27     S 10 G24     SW 17 G38
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           80
Precip duration                    1            3
Precip begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.09         0.34
LAL                   1            3            5
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 23                      SW 26
Dispersion            70 Good                   91 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G26                  S 16 G32
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G27     S 13 G24     SW 21 G38

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010830-
East Tennessee District West-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (-3)   61-66 (-4)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      39-44 (-2)   90-95 (+8)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G31                  SW 14 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G32     S 12 G35     SW 19 G41
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            70           80
Precip duration                    3            3
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.31         0.17
LAL                   1            5            5
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 30                      SW 32
Dispersion            109 Very good             144 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 15 G31                  SW 18 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G32     S 15 G35     SW 23 G41

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-010830-
Cumberland District South-
320 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017 /220 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (-3)   59-64 (-6)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+1)   95-100 (+14) 38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 14 G34                  SW 14 G36
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G37     S 15 G39     SW 18 G40
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            100          70
Precip duration                    3            3
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.64         0.08
LAL                   1            5            5
LASI                  4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 35                      SW 30
Dispersion            124 Very good             144 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 17 G34                  SW 18 G36
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 21 G37     S 19 G39     SW 23 G40

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 50. West winds 5 to
15 mph shifting to the southwest less than 10 mph after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 70s to lower 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North winds up to
10 mph.

$$



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