Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 061418 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...PROVIDING MAINLY DRY
AND WARM CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. ANY CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE
FAIRLY LIMITED IN THE FORM OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS...FAVORING THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   53-58 (+1)   77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   95-100 (+9)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.06
LAL                   3            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     E  8
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   31 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+3)   54-59 (+3)   74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   88-93 (+3)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   12 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.05
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      E 12
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               39 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-070900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   54-59 (+5)   73-78
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   83-88 (-4)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM
PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03
LAL                   2            1            3
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     E  8
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   23 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-070900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   54-59 (+4)   76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   86-91 (-3)   39-44
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM
PRECIP END                                      8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     NE  3
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-070900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   50-55 (+3)   75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM
PRECIP END                                      8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   2            1            3
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      NE  6
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   24 FAIR
MAX LVORI             5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   53-58 (+2)   78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   95-100 (+6)  40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      12 PM
PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   3            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      E  7
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   56-61 (+3)   79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 PM
PRECIP END                                      8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      E  5
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1018 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   55-60 (+2)   80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   94-99 (+7)   32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      NE  2
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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