Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 160725
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture across the region coupled with
a series of weak disturbances will result in the possibility of
showers and thunderstorms for the next few days. Coverage for the
most part will be scattered in nature...with the greatest coverage
occurring during the afternoon and evening hours.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (+5)   65-70 (-1)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      55-60 (-10)  95-100 (+2)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.02         0.20
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  3                     SW 13
Dispersion            12 Poor                   43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (+5)   64-69 (+1)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-12)  95-100 (-1)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           60
Precip duration       1            1            2
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.22
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     W  9
Dispersion            11 Poor                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-170830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      80-85 (+5)   64-69 (+1)   78-83
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (-12)  94-99 (+1)   60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.04         0.21
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)   W  7                      SW 10
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to upper 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-170830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (+5)   67-72 (+3)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-11)  95-100 (-1)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.06         0.17
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      6500
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6                      W 10
Dispersion            20 Gen poor               39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 90s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-170830-
Nantahala National Forest-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   66-71 (+3)   83-88
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  95-100 (0)   54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.06         0.16
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  8
DISPERSION            20 Gen poor               35 Fair
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170830-
East Tennessee District East-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+4)   66-71 (-1)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-10)  95-100 (+2)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.03         0.16
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      5800
Transport wnd (mph)   W  3                      SW 12
Dispersion            12 Poor                   44 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
70s to lower 90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170830-
East Tennessee District West-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+4)   68-73 (+1)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (-8)   95-100 (+4)  58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.09         0.05         0.18
LAL                   3            2            4
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 13
Dispersion            22 Fair                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
West winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-170830-
Cumberland District South-
325 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017 /225 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (+3)   69-74 (+2)   86-91
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (-6)   95-100 (+3)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.05         0.11
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5400
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  6                     SW 13
Dispersion            25 Fair                   46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 70. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 70s to
lower 90s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. West winds less
than 10 mph.

$$



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