Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 221751 AAB
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL EXIT THE REGION
EARLY TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON TUESDAY...BEFORE
SWINGING THROUGH OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN SHOWERS ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MAY CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   37-42 (+5)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   95-100 (+9)  59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         10 AM
PRECIP END                         7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S 14
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        S  8 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   37-42 (+3)   51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   95-100 (+12) 66-71
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  9 G18    S  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.26
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     S 17
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G15                 S 11 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    SE 11 G23    S 10 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-231900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   39-44 (+2)   53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   92-97 (+12)  62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 10 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G17    S 11 G25     S 10 G24
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.13         0.36
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 22
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 S 12 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G22    S 14 G32     S 13 G30

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-231900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   41-46 (+2)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   95-100 (+10) 71-76
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  8 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G15    SE  9 G19    S  9 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           90
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.11         0.43
LAL                   1            2            3
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     SE 18
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 S 11 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    SE 11 G23    S 11 G25

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-231900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   41-46 (+2)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-7)   95-100 (+7)  70-75
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  7 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7        S  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           90
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            7
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.45
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SE 15
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   3 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI             5                         8
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE  9 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    SE  8 G18    S  9 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   38-43 (+4)   57-62
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   95-100 (+9)  56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        S  5
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.13
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 13
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7        S  6 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   41-46 (+3)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+9)   93-98 (+12)  62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           80
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.12         0.29
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 13
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        S  5 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1251 PM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   44-49 (+5)   54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+8)   95-100 (+11) 72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           90
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.14         0.49
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 15
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S  7 G15     S  6 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR
50. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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