Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 010121 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING
A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020230-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    77-82 (+2)   53-58        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   39-44 (-5)   92-97        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  6
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020230-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    74-79 (+2)   51-56        74-79
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   40-45 (-9)   95-100       43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  6
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-020230-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    75-80 (+1)   53-58        76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    39-44 (-9)   94-99        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  7
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-020230-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    79-84 (+1)   56-61        79-84
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   38-43 (-6)   93-98        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW  8
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-020230-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   78-83 (+2)   55-60        78-83
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   36-41 (-7)   91-96        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  7
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    79-84 (+1)   54-59        80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   38-43 (-5)   95-100       41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  6
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020230-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   79-84 (0)    57-62        80-85
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   38-43 (-3)   88-93        42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW  8
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020230-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
921 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   81-86 (+1)   59-64        81-86
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   37-42 (-5)   87-92        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW  9
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               32 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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