Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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000
AXUS76 KMTR 201726
DGTMTR
CAC001-013-041-053-055-069-075-081-085-087-097-202330-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
1026 AM PDT THU MAR 20 2014

...DROUGHT STATUS UPDATE AND DISAPPOINTING WATER YEAR CONTINUES...

IN CALIFORNIA, A DISAPPOINTING WATER YEAR CONTINUES, WITH WARM,
DRY WEATHER QUICKLY NEGATING THE BENEFITS OF THE PRECIPITATION
FROM FEBRUARY AND EARLY MARCH ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT
BASIN. MOST NOTABLY, EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) RETURNED TO COASTAL
AREAS NORTH OF SAN FRANCISCO AS WELL AS THE SIERRA NEVADA; OVER
THE PAST TWO WEEKS, PRECIPITATION DEFICITS IN THESE AREAS HAVE
AVERAGED TWO INCHES OR MORE. WATER-YEAR (SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2013)
PRECIPITATION HAS AVERAGED LESS THAN HALF OF NORMAL OVER MOST OF
CALIFORNIA, AND LOCALLY LESS THAN 30 PERCENT OF NORMAL IN THE
STATE`S D4 (EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT) AREA. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)
EXPANDED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA, WHERE WATER-YEAR PRECIPITATION
HAS AVERAGED 40 TO 60 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

TO SEE THE CHANGES ON THE STATE MAP SEE:
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/HOME/STATEDROUGHTMONITOR.ASPX?CA

IF YOU WOULD LIKE MORE INFO ON THE REASONS FOR THE CHANGE AND
DROUGHT STATUS, IT CAN BE FOUND HERE:
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/HOME/NARRATIVE.ASPX.



SHORT TERM FORECAST...

QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH INCREASING
ONSHORE FLOW, SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES, AND POSSIBLY NIGHT/MORNING
STRATUS. THE NEXT WEATHER ITEM OF NOTE WILL BE A POSSIBLE PATTERN
SHIFT NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL, ALTHOUGH A GREAT DEAL
OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON HOW MUCH PRECIP WILL ACTUALLY FALL
LOCALLY AND ACROSS THE STATE. ON THE WET SIDE OF THE SPECTRUM, BAY
AREA LOCATIONS MAY RECEIVE AN INCH OR SLIGHTLY MORE. EVEN WITH A
WET MODEL SOLUTION AND FORECAST, THE LARGE MOISTURE DEFICIT WILL
REMAIN MOSTLY STATIC.



EXTENDED OUTLOOKS...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HAS JUST RELEASED THEIR UPDATED EXTENDED
RAINFALL OUTLOOKS, WHICH CONTINUE TO SHOW BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION
PROBABILITY FOR APRIL THROUGH JUNE.


HELPFUL LINKS...

6-10 DAY RAINFALL OUTLOOK: HTTP://1.USA.GOV/1ESGORJ
8-14 DAY RAINFALL OUTLOOK: HTTP://1.USA.GOV/1IDYY58
LATEST CA DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://BIT.LY/1CFJHZQ
CALIFORNIA DROUGHT RESOURCES: HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/WRH/DROUGHTCA.PHP
CALIFORNIA WATER CONSERVATION: HTTP://WWW.SAVEOURH2O.ORG/


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN RESPONSE
TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS AND/OR CHANGES IN DROUGHT
LEVELS.



RELATED WEBSITES...

NORTH AMERICAN DROUGHT MONITOR:
HTTP://WWW.NCDC.NOAA.GOV/TEMP-AND-PRECIP/DROUGHT/NADM/INDEX.HTML
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:
    HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL:
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV/DROUGHT/
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER:
HTTP://DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/
CALIFORNIA DROUGHT PAGE:
HTTP://WATERSUPPLYCONDITIONS.WATER.CA.GOV/
ASSOCIATION OF CALIFORNIA WATER AGENCIES:
HTTP://WWW.ACWA.COM/
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO/MONTEREY:
HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/MTR/
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/DROUGHT/
CALIFORNIA DATA EXCHANGE CENTER:
HTTP://CDEC.WATER.CA.GOV/
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER:
HTTP://WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/



ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
DROUGHT MONITOR
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES
CALIFORNIA STATE CLIMATOLOGIST
CAL FIRE
ASSOCIATION OF CALIFORNIA WATER AGENCIES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE S.F./MONTEREY BAY AREAS
CALIFORNIA NEVADA RIVER FORECAST CENTER
U.S. BUREAU OF RECLAMATION



QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

PLEASE REFER ALL QUESTIONS TO W-MTR.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

STRUDLEY

WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO






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