National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 140822
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
322 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...EARLY MORNING SKIES WERE CLEAR OVER MID TN...AND
TEMPERATURES WERE WELL BELOW NORMAL...ALTHOUGH NOT AS COLD AS THE
RECORD SETTING CHILL OF MONDAY MORNING. THE MAIN STORY FOR THIS
FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE THE RAPID WARMUP TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH
WARMER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THE
COMING WEEKEND.

A HIGH PRESSURE AXIS EXTENDED ALONG THE ENTIRE EAST COAST AND BACK
ACROSS THE GULF COAST THIS MORNING. RETURN FLOW AROUND THE HIGH
WAS BRINGING SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW AND WARMER AIR. THIS PATTERN
WILL INCREASE TODAY AS THE HIGH PUSHES FARTHER SOUTHEAST AND THE
INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BRINGS MUCH WARMER AIR ALONG WITH
SOME GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL REACH THE
LOWER TO MID 80S...EXCEPT UPPER 70S PLATEAU.

RISING HEIGHTS AND PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL WARM
TEMPERATURES EVEN MORE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE
80S. IT WOULD NOT BE SHOCKING FOR A FEW LOCATIONS TO TOUCH 90.

WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S AND LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S.
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A WEAK
UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND A COLD FRONT SINKS
SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...AND WITH PWATS RISING OVER 1
INCH SOME LOW POPS APPEAR WARRANTED ON THURSDAY WITH BEST RAIN
CHANCES NEAR THE KY BORDER. A CONTINUED LOW CHANCE FOR MAINLY
DIURNAL SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN THE
REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS PWATS HOVER IN THE 1.25-1.5 INCH
RANGE AND REGION REMAINS IN WEAK ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. DEEP CONVECTION
MAY BECOME TOTALLY CAPPED BY SUNDAY WITH MODELS SUGGESTING
RESTRENGTHENING OF THE SOUTHERN RIDGE. BETTER RAIN CHANCES MAY
WORK INTO THE MID STATE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A TROUGH SHIFTS FROM
THE PLAINS INTO THE EASTERN CONUS.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      84  59  87  60 /   0   0   0  10
CLARKSVILLE    85  60  86  60 /   0   0   0  10
CROSSVILLE     76  56  82  56 /   0   0   0  10
COLUMBIA       84  59  86  60 /   0   0   0  10
LAWRENCEBURG   84  59  86  60 /   0   0   0  10
WAVERLY        85  60  86  60 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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