Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
000
FXUS64 KOHX 181928
AFDOHX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
228 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
.DISCUSSION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION NOW WELL SOUTH OF MID
STATE WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY OVER MUCH OF THE CWA AT
MID-AFTERNOON. RATHER SHARP SHORT WAVE ACROSS EASTERN IOWA THIS
AFTERNOON WILL WORK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT
CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL ILLINOIS ACROSS INDIANA INTO OHIO.
ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE SOME CONVECTION FIRING ALONG THAT
BOUNDARY. SURFACE BOUNDARY PROGGED TO SINK SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING
PRECEDING BY CONVECTION. FRONT WILL BE UNDERGOING FRONTOLYSIS BY
THE TIME IT GETS THIS FAR SOUTH. EVEN THOUGH THE FRONT WILL BE
WEAKENING I DONT FEEL CONFORTABLE NOT HAVING AT LEAST A MENTION OF
ISOLATED THUNDER IN THE FORECAST FOR THE EVENING PERIOD. THERE
STILL COULD BE ISOLATED THUNDER ON THE UPPER CUMBERLAND FOR A
COUPLE OF HOURS AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALSO...AM EXPECTING LATE NIGHT PATCHY
FOG TO DEVELOP. ON WEDNESDAY ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DROPS SOUTHEAST
THAT COULD DEVELOP ISOLATED THUNDER ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL TURN OUT QUITE SUMMER-LIKE...
RIGHT ON CUE WITH THE SUMMER SOLSTICE WHICH OCCURS FRIDAY JUNE
21ST AT 12:04 AM CDT. PLAINS UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH MID STATE REMAINING IN NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS MEANS A
THUNDERSTORM CHANCE PRETTY MUCH EACH DAY.
BOYD
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE 67 88 66 90 / 20 10 10 20
CLARKSVILLE 65 87 63 89 / 20 10 10 10
CROSSVILLE 60 81 61 84 / 20 10 10 20
COLUMBIA 66 89 66 91 / 20 10 10 20
LAWRENCEBURG 65 90 65 91 / 20 10 10 20
WAVERLY 65 88 64 90 / 20 10 10 20
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
BOYD
01