000
FXUS64 KOHX 141912
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
212 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGE DOWN ALONG GULF COAST AND ACROSS FLORIDA COMBINED
WITH MINNESOTA LOW CAUSING TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BACK OFF BY 6
PM CDT TODAY AS MIXING RELAXES. TEMPS HAVE CLIMBED INTO THE 70S
ALONG THE PLATEAU WITH LOWER 80S ELSEWHERE AT 18Z. BERMUDA RIDGE
NOT GOING ANYWHERE ON WEDNESDAY AS SURFACE LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO
CANADA. BERMUDA RIDGE WILL CONTINUE IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REST
OF THE WEEK AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST BRINGING A
CHANCE (ALBEIT SMALL) FOR SHOWERS/STORMS THURSDAY INTO WEEKEND.
THURSDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. AFTER THURSDAY SHORT WAVE WORKS ALONG EASTERN SIDE
OF UPPER RIDGE AS IT MOVES THIS WAY FROM CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS
KEEPING SMALL POPS IN FORECAST. UPPER RIDGE WILL KEEP TEMPS ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMALS. UPPER RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF MID
STATE BY MONDAY WITH CENTRAL PLAINS UPPER TROUGH WORKING OVER THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

.CLIMATE...SO FAR THIS MONTH TEMPS ARE AVERAGING 4.5 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

THIS HAS BEEN ONE OF THE COOLER STARTS TO THE MONTH OF MAY ON RECORD
AND THROUGH MAY 13TH RANKS AS THE 16TH COOLEST. THE COOLEST FIRST
13 DAYS OF MAY ON RECORD WAS BACK IN 1917 FOLLOWED BY 1960...WITH
1989 RANKING 5TH AND 1997 RANKING 9TH. IN CONTRAST...THE WARMEST
FIRST 13 DAYS OF MAY ON RECORD WAS IN 1959...WITH 2007 RANKING AS
THE 8TH WARMEST.

BOYD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      60  84  61  82 /   0   0  10  30
CLARKSVILLE    59  83  61  80 /   0   0  10  30
CROSSVILLE     58  79  58  78 /   0   0  10  30
COLUMBIA       60  84  61  82 /   0   0  10  30
LAWRENCEBURG   59  85  60  80 /   0   0  10  30
WAVERLY        59  83  60  80 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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