Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS51 KOKX 160733
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Continued rain showers and a wetting rainfall is expected over much
of the area, eventually drying out tonight and into Friday.

Wind remains gusty out of the N/NE 10-20 mph with gusts upwards of
30 mph through today. Winds diminish a bit tonight and into
Friday but remain 10-15 mph out of the NE.

Minimum RH values today will be 70 - 80 percent today and drop to
50-60 percent on Friday.


NYZ212-170745-
New York City-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     40           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+2)      57 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-8)      88 (-9)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G25 NE 9-13 G21  NE 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 12-16 G24 NE 6-10 G17  E 6-10
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3200         1590         5840
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 32        NE 22        E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     89600        30210        64240
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-170745-
Long Island-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (0)       53 (-2)      71
RH % (24h trend)      82 (-3)      94 (-6)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 13-17 G26 NE 9-13 G24  NE 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 13-17 G26 NE 7-11 G19  E 7-11
Precip Amount         0.27         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2600         280          4580
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 36        NE 21        E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80600        5040         73280
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-170745-
Lower Hudson Valley-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      52 (-4)      74
RH % (24h trend)      73 (-7)      93 (-4)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 5-9 G19   NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G22  NE 3-7       E 3-7
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3770         970          7380
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29        NE 16        SE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94250        13580        51660
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-170745-
Western Passaic-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+1)      53 (-2)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-7)      94 (-6)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 8-12 G23  NE 4-8 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 7-11 G23  Lgt/Var      SE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3490         740          6540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29        NE 16        SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     87250        10360        52320
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-170745-
Eastern Passaic-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      56 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-6)      89 (-11)     52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 5-9 G19   NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  NE 3-7       E 3-7
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3490         1520         6330
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        NE 18        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94230        24320        56970
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-170745-
Western Bergen-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      54 (-3)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-6)      90 (-10)     51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 9-13 G23  NE 5-9 G19   NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 8-12 G22  NE 3-7       E 3-7
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3460         1260         6540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 17        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     89960        18900        58860
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-170745-
Eastern Bergen-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (0)       56 (-2)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-6)      88 (-10)     51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 NE 6-10 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G23  NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3280         1560         6250
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        NE 18        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88560        24960        56250
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-170745-
Western Essex-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      56 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      74 (-9)      90 (-8)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 10-14 G24  NE 6-10 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G23  NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410         1340         6150
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29        NE 18        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85250        21440        55350
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-170745-
Eastern Essex-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+1)      58 (0)       73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-6)      86 (-6)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 11-15 G24  NE 7-11 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G23 NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3260         1840         5840
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 20        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     84760        31280        52560
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-170745-
Western Union-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+1)      56 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      75 (-8)      90 (-4)      55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 11-15 G23  NE 6-10 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G23 NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3440         1490         5780
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29        NE 20        E  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     86000        25330        46240
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-170745-
Eastern Union-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+1)      57 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      73 (-8)      87 (-4)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  N 11-15 G25  NE 7-11 G21  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G25 NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410         1780         5730
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 20        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88660        30260        51570
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-170745-
Hudson-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+2)      58 (-1)      73
RH % (24h trend)      73 (-7)      87 (-9)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G24 NE 8-12 G20  NE 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 11-15 G23 NE 5-9       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3190         1830         5820
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        NE 21        E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     86130        32940        58200
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-170745-
Northern Fairfield-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     60           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-2)      53 (-2)      72
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-3)      93 (-4)      56
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G22 NE 6-10 G18  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  NE 4-8       E 4-8
Precip Amount         0.26         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       7            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2930         950          6780
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 17        E  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76180        14250        54240
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-170745-
Southern Fairfield-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+1)      54 (-2)      72
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-5)      92 (-5)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 12-16 G24 NE 7-11 G19  NE 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G23 NE 5-9       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.21         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3040         1130         5760
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        NE 18        E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     82080        18080        69120
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-170745-
Northern New Haven-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     70           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-3)      52 (-4)      73
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+2)      93 (-4)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G23 NE 7-11 G19  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  NE 4-8       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.50         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       9            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2990         970          7130
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 17        E 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77740        14550        64170
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-170745-
Southern New Haven-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     70           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (0)       53 (-3)      72
RH % (24h trend)      80 (-2)      92 (-5)      57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G23 NE 7-11 G19  NE 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G23  NE 5-9       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.59         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       9            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2720         430          6420
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 17        E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     70720        6450         77040
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-170745-
Northern Middlesex-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     80           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-5)      52 (-4)      74
RH % (24h trend)      81 (+4)      94 (-4)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G23 NE 6-10 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  NE 4-8       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.87         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       10           1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2720         590          7050
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30        NE 17        E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     70720        8850         77550
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-170745-
Southern Middlesex-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     80           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-1)      53 (-3)      72
RH % (24h trend)      82 (-3)      94 (-6)      57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G23 NE 7-11 G20  NE 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G23  NE 4-8       E 5-9
Precip Amount         0.87         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration       10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490         250          6420
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 32        NE 16        E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     69720        3500         89880
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-170745-
Northern New London-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     80           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      61 (-6)      52 (-3)      73
RH % (24h trend)      82 (+6)      95 (-5)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 10-14 G22 NE 7-11 G20  NE 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 9-13 G22  NE 4-8       NE 6-10
Precip Amount         1.05         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration       10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2400         460          6270
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 31        NE 17        NE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64800        6900         87780
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-170745-
Southern New London-
333 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     80           30           0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-2)      52 (-3)      71
RH % (24h trend)      83 (0)       95 (-5)      58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 11-15 G24 NE 8-12 G21  NE 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE 10-14 G23 NE 5-9 G17   E 6-10
Precip Amount         1.05         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2340         130          5940
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 32        NE 16        NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     65520        1820         95040
LAL                   No Tstms     No Tstms     No Tstms
Haines Index          2            2            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$