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000
FXUS64 KOUN 210115 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
815 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

.UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST OK THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OK OVERNIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY. MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS/WX. WILL SEND UPDATES SHORTLY.

MAXWELL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 152 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013/

DISCUSSION...

..SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS...

RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO ALONG THE DRYLINE AND STATIONARY BOUNDARY. THIS WILL MAINLY
BE ALONG I44 FROM OKC SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG AND EAST OF I35 NORTH
OF OKC. RETURNS ALREADY BEING OBSERVED EAST OF LAWTON. MOST
RECENT MESOANALYSIS AND 18Z SOUNDING SUGGEST VERY LARGE HAIL AND
THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES ESPECIALLY JUST SOUTH/SW OF METRO NE
OF TRIPLE POINT. STORMS SHOULD REMAIN DISCRETE UNTIL LATER
TONIGHT...PERHAPS MERGING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL/EAST CENTRAL OK
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...HAIL...AND THE THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS ACROSS SE OK. ANOTHER ROUND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY BE
POSSIBLE VERY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IMPACTS THE AREA. COOLER TEMPS ARE EXPECTED
TOMORROW WITH THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING PERHAPS THROUGH THE DAY
ACROSS SE OK.

A BREAK IN RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL OCCUR WED...BUT WILL
RETURN THURS THROUGH SATURDAY AS SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROUNDING
THE RIDGE AXIS IMPACT THE REGION AND ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT
ENTERS THE AREA. EXPECT NEAR AVG TEMPS THROUGH THE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  64  76  60  84 /  30  30  10  10
HOBART OK         61  82  58  88 /  10  20  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  68  82  62  89 /  20  20  10  10
GAGE OK           54  81  53  85 /  10  10   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     59  78  55  80 /  20  20  10  10
DURANT OK         70  78  65  85 / 100  60  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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