Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 272313
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

.AVIATION...
MAINLY MID/HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. A WEAK FRONT WILL
ENTER NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND MAY PROVIDE GAG/WWR WITH AN CHANCE
FOR TSTM. HAVE INTRODUCED A PROB GROUP FOR A FEW HOURS FRIDAY
MORNING AS FRONT MOVES ACROSS THIS AREA. WILL ALSO MENTION TSTM AT
BOTH CSM/HBR FRIDAY AFTN AS FRONT MAKES ITS WAY VERY SLOWLY SOUTH
AND EAST. CEILINGS WILL LOWER LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... BUT WILL
REMAIN VFR.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

.DISCUSSION...
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY BUT HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS IS
UNLIKELY. HIGHER PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE FOR THE CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT IN THE PANHANDLES MOVING TOWARD NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHWEST KANSAS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE
AREA. THE NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN BRINGING THIS FRONT INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY/SATURDAY /ALBEIT SLOWLY/ WHILE GFS AND ECMWF
STALLS IT ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST. EXPECT TO SEE SOME SCATTERED
STORMS NEAR THE FRONT... BUT DATA AT THE MOMENT SUGGEST THAT IT
WILL NOT BE TOO WIDESPREAD WITH UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
PLAINS. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIP CHANCES IN THE PACKAGE AFTER
SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  93  70  92 /  10  20  30  10
HOBART OK         73  95  70  95 /  10  30  30  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  99  73  97 /   0  10  20  10
GAGE OK           72  93  65  92 /  30  20  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     73  90  68  91 /  20  20  30  10
DURANT OK         70  96  73  94 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.