Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 280449 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

.AVIATION...06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
SCATTERED TSRA FINALLY DEVELOPED THROUGH 28/04Z ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. OVERALL... THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
HAVE LIMITED IMPACT ON TAF SITES... AS CURRENT AND DEVELOPING
ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED EAST OF KOKC/KOUN. DID PLACE MENTION OF VCTS
AT KLAW AS A NARROW LINE OF ISOLATED TSRA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE
E/NE OF THE AIRFIELD. MODERATE NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
BEHIND THE FRONT... WHICH HAS FINALLY PUSHED TO THE RED RIVER.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1125 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2014/

UPDATE...
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA FOR THE REST
OF TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A PONCA CITY TO
ALTUS TO QUANAH TEXAS TO SEYMOUR TEXAS LINE.

INCREASED RAIN CHANCES BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS. MID LEVEL
COOLING HAS ALLOWED FOR THE NEW DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE 800 MB FRONT.
SO FAR...SHOWERS HAVE BEEN RATHER WEAK. ONE OR TWO MARGINAL SEVERE
HAIL REPORTS TO QUARTERS MAY RESULT...BUT SEVERE POTENTIAL
APPEARS TO BE LIMITED DUE TO RATHER WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY.
RAIN COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN OR WILL BE UPDATED.

MBS

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 PM CDT MON OCT 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS STEADILY SWD THIS EVENING AND
SHOULD PUSH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FA BY ABOUT 08Z.
SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE SO FAR BEEN LIMITED TO AREAS WELL NE
OF THE FA. STILL SOME THREAT FOR MAINLY EASTERN PARTS OF
THE FA OVERNIGHT BUT WILL TRIM BACK THE POPS ELSEWHERE.

02

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  85  52  70  47 /  20  20   0   0
HOBART OK         85  51  71  45 /  10  20   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  90  56  74  49 /  10  20   0   0
GAGE OK           75  41  68  37 /  10  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     82  46  70  43 /  20  30   0   0
DURANT OK         84  60  72  52 /   0  30  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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