Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 150510
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1210 AM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
06Z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...
Precipitation chances have increased across western Oklahoma
overnight with the development of the storm complex southeast of
Amarillo. Although there likely will be some weakening as the
complex approaches the 100th meridian, the experimental HRRR model
suggests enough of a chance for thunderstorms to warrant a tempo
group at KCSM and KHBR. There is some chance for the storms at the
other western Oklahoma stations, but not high enough for a tempo
group. Still may see some MVFR ceilings around in the morning
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 827 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms over southern Oklahoma will
likely dissipate within an hour or so. Clouds will increase over
western Oklahoma after midnight while a complex of storms moves
across the northern Texas panhandle to the east. Short-term models
continue to weaken this as it moves into western Oklahoma early
Tuesday. The rain is still not expected to make it as far east as
Oklahoma City. Temperature trend was adjusted slightly for the
rest of the evening because it had temperatures decreasing more
quickly than realized.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  75  90  73  92 /  20  40  40  10
Hobart OK         74  94  73  95 /  40  30  30  20
Wichita Falls TX  75  95  75  96 /  30  40  20  20
Gage OK           71  92  67  90 /  30  20  20  20
Ponca City OK     75  91  71  90 /  30  40  50  10
Durant OK         75  91  75  93 /  10  30  30  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.