Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOUN 151605 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1105 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

.UPDATE...
INCREASED HIGHS TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. TWEAKED RAIN
CHANCES AND OTHER ELEMENTS AS WELL THROUGH THIS EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
TODAY WHILE A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FORM NEAR
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AFTER 2 PM
THIS AFTERNOON.

LATEST RADARS INDICATED VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA NEAR PAULS VALLEY...ARDMORE...ADA...AND ATOKA. THESE
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE DAY AND BRING A
FEW HUNDREDTHS OF RAINFALL TO SOME LOCATIONS.

A COLD FRONT WAS OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS...NEAR A LIBERAL TO TOPEKA
LINE AS OF 11 AM. THIS WILL ENTER HARPER COUNTY BY 1 PM...THEN
GET INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. AGREE WITH LATEST HRRR
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FORM ALONG THIS
FRONT 2 TO 4 PM SOMEWHERE NEAR A WOODWARD TO PONCA CITY LINE WHERE
GREATEST HEATING WILL OCCUR TODAY. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
DUE TO WEAK SHEAR...THOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS THEY WILL SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST AS WELL AS BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS TO 50 MPH. THERE IS A SIGNAL THAT A FEW ADDITIONAL STORMS
MAY DEVELOP IN FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS AFTER 2 PM AS WELL. STORMS MAY STRUGGLE TO HOLD TOGETHER
AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND DUE TO THE LACK
OF STRONG FORCING.

MORNING SUN AND DOWNSLOPING SOUTHWESTERN WINDS HAVE BOOSTED
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 70S AND LOWER 80S IN NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA...SO RAISED HIGHS SEVERAL DEGREES IN THESE LOCATIONS.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014/

AVIATION...
15/12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL UNTIL AFTER
03-05Z WHEN MVFR CONDITIONS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA TERMINALS. ALTHOUGH
VFR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WIDESPREAD VERY LIGHT RAIN WILL
AFFECT ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TERMINALS THROUGH ABOUT
16-18Z TODAY. NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED AND WITH BREVITY...WILL
JUST MENTION VCSH IN INITIAL PREVAILING GROUPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  82  64  82  66 /  20  30  20  10
HOBART OK         84  65  85  67 /  20  30  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  86  68  86  69 /  20  50  40  10
GAGE OK           87  59  83  64 /  30  20  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     88  61  79  63 /  30  30  10  30
DURANT OK         83  68  87  69 /  30  30  30  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/23



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.