Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 092006
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT WED JUL 9 2014

.DISCUSSION...

OVERNIGHT/MORNING CONVECTION HAS MAINLY DISSIPATED THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW SHOWERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.  NEW
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING IN NORTH TEXAS ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.  CU FIELD EXTENDS FROM THIS DEVELOPING CONVECTION INTO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE NEAR AMARILLO.  RECENT HRRR RUNS...DEVELOP STORMS IN
THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE AND MOVE STORMS GENERALLY EAST DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.  BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...THIS
SEEM PLAUSIBLE.

OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM IN WESTERN NEBRASKA/KANSAS IN
ADVANCE OF A SHORTWAVE.  THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ENTER NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA DURING THE LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.  WILL KEEP HIGHEST POPS
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

OVERNIGHT CONVECTION MAY LINGER INTO THURSDAY MORNING...THEN A
BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOULD GREATLY REDUCE
RAIN/STORM CHANCES.  HOT WEATHER WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE WEEKEND.
NOT SURE IF HEAT ADVISORIES WILL BE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.

BY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...MOST MODELS PUSH A SIGNIFICANT FRONT INTO
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS (AT LEAST BY JULY STANDARDS).  THE FRONT
ALONG WITH A DECENT WAVE...MAY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.


&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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