Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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621
FXUS64 KOUN 141954
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
254 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Main focus was on the next 24 hours.

A band of light rain showers continues across portions of NW OK
this afternoon. Meanwhile, a cold front is moving across Kansas
and currently is about to move through Dodge City. This front is
expected to move into NW parts of the fa late this afternoon/early
evening and continue to move southeast across the region tonight.
Storms are expected to develop near the front as it moves across
the area. With sfc heating, instability has increased across much
of the area this afternoon. Some of these storms could become
strong to severe with damaging winds and large hail the main
concerns. The rain is not expected to linger in one area for a
long time so flooding is not a major concern but some locally
heavy rainfall in a few locations are possible. Storms are
expected to exit the area Sunday morning.

Strong northerly winds are also expected behind the cold front
this evening and overnight. Models are showing 0-1km winds of
35+kts in some areas tonight so have issued a wind advisory for
portions of the fa. The greatest potential for wind gusts of 40+
mph will be over portions of western OK and western north Texas,
with a little more uncertainty further east. Currently have the
advisory for areas along and west of I-35. The strong winds are
expected to be for a relatively brief time period (just a few
hours) at a given location. Have the advisory running from 0-12Z
but some areas could be removed before that.

The cold front will also bring cooler temperatures to the area
with highs Sunday expected to be 20-25 degrees cooler than today.
Dry conditions expected through next week with a slow warm up back
into the 70s and 80s by the end of the week. Another upper system
and cold front could affect the region next weekend possibly
bringing another chance of rain to parts of the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  50  63  42  69 /  90   0   0   0
Hobart OK         49  64  40  69 /  80   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  54  66  43  69 /  80  10   0   0
Gage OK           42  63  36  71 /  20   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     47  63  38  69 /  90   0   0   0
Durant OK         56  68  47  72 /  90  20   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Sunday for
     OKZ004>007-009>012-014>019-021>025-027>029-033>041-044>046-
     050.

TX...Wind Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Sunday for
     TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

30/25



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