Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 271119
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
619 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAFS IS BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
THE FORECAST CHALLENGE OF THE DAY IS DETERMINING RAIN CHANCES
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

TODAY WILL BE A BIT COOLER AND LESS HUMID ACROSS THE AREA UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. SLIGHTLY PREFERRED THE WARMER SIDE OF GUIDANCE
HIGHS DUE TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE.

SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER THAN TODAY WITH LOTS OF SUN. THINK DRY
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BEFORE 7 PM.

SUNDAY NIGHT...THINK ISOLATED TO PERHAPS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA NEAR A WEAK
FRONT. WITH MARGINAL WIND SHEAR AND SOME INSTABILITY...A FEW
SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ALONG
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THINK STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED DUE
TO WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL FORCING. STORMS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH
THROUGH THE NIGHT.

MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING...A FEW ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY OCCUR
ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
NEAR A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY. COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED
AT BEST WITH MOST LOCATIONS STAYING DRY. CANNOT RULE OUT A STRAY
SEVERE STORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ALONG
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...STORM CHANCES WILL DECREASE AND
MAINLY BE CONFINED TO NEAR THE RED RIVER. HOTTER TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST FOR TUESDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...SEASONABLY HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
KEPT LOW CHANCES FOR STORMS MOST DAYS...THOUGH APPEARS CAPPING
MAY BECOME RATHER STRONG...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
WHICH MAY PREVENT STORM FORMATION. RAIN CHANCES MAY INCREASE
FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

MBS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  87  64  90  68 /   0   0   0  20
HOBART OK         91  64  93  68 /   0   0   0  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  90  65  92  69 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           88  63  93  67 /   0  10  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     87  64  93  69 /   0   0  10  30
DURANT OK         87  66  91  67 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/17/17


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