Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 200827
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
327 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SOME SPRINKLES/SHOWERS... CURRENTLY IN NORTH TEXAS... COULD MOVE
NORTH INTO PARTS OF OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE... UPPER HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER WILL BUILD WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... ALTHOUGH
MODELS DISAGREE HOW FAR WEST. THIS HIGH PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN UPR
TROUGH IN THE WESTERN U.S. WILL LEAD TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OR JUST
WEST OF THE FA. DEPENDING ON WHERE THIS SETS UP... THERE COULD BE A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS IN NORTHWEST/WESTERN PARTS OF THE CWA.
HOWEVER... RIGHT NOW EXPECT RAIN TO REMAIN WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE
FA UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE HOT TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.

MODELS SHOW THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTING EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
WHICH COULD LEAD TO A BETTER CHANCE OF SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER AT LEAST
PART OF THE AREA. WITH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A POSSIBLE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN OR NEAR THE FA... THERE WILL BE MORE OF AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS AT LEAST NORTHWEST
PARTS OF THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS
THEN SHOW A TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH A FRONT MOVING
INTO THE AREA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL CONT A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE FA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  74  97  75 /  10   0   0   0
HOBART OK         99  74  99  75 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  75 100  75 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  75  98  74 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     96  76  98  76 /   0   0   0  10
DURANT OK         97  74  97  74 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/25



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