Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 290549
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS...
A NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WILL OCCUR THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE
MID AFTERNOON. MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE AT PNC FROM MID/LATE
MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 626 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT TO ALL TERMINALS BY 10-12Z
THURSDAY.  MEANWHILE...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD
OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING. MVFR CEILINGS MAY DEVELOP BEHIND THE
FRONT THURSDAY MORNING IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AFTER THREE DAYS OF RECORD-BREAKING WARMTH...TEMPERATURES WILL
START HEADING BACK DOWN TOWARD THE SEASONAL AVERAGE TONIGHT...AS A
COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHEAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH
TEXAS.

THE NEXT WEATHER MAKER IS A STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. WE COULD SEE SOME STRAY SHOWERS IN
THE WARM-AIR ADVECTION PATTERN AHEAD OF THE STORM AS EARLY AS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN THE WEST...BUT THE MAIN RAIN EVENT WILL BEGIN
EARLY SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. SOME SNOW MAY MIX WITH
THE RAIN IN THE NORTH...AND SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE LIGHT IF IT
OCCURS AT ALL.

COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW FOR MONDAY...BUT AS THE COLD AIRMASS
MOVES EAST...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION...BRINGING
WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR BACK INTO NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA BY
MIDWEEK. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE
INCREASED MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  43  54  32  48 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         42  55  31  48 /   0   0   0  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  58  35  50 /   0   0   0  20
GAGE OK           37  52  27  45 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     40  51  26  48 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         48  60  35  52 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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