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000
FXUS64 KOUN 121139
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
639 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013

.AVIATION...
12/12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL. TEMPO MID LEVEL
CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
TERMINALS THROUGH 23Z WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE.
PROBABILITY TOO LOW FOR MENTION IN TERMINALS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2013/

DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST PACKAGE. ISOLATED/SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND WEAK STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY NORTH-CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA BY AFTERNOON. WILL LEAVE PREVIOUS
POP STRUCTURE PRETTY MUCH AS IS ALTHOUGH WILL SPREAD MENTION OF
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACTIVITY SOUTHWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. ANY ACTIVITY THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL LIKELY
DIMINISH VERY QUICKLY TOWARD SUNSET.

ELEVATED WILDFIRE DANGERS WILL BE SEEN ACROSS FAR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS ON MONDAY NEAR/WEST OF
SHARPENING DRYLINE. ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE VERY WARM AND DRY...WINDS
DO NOT APPEAR TO BE EXCESSIVE. ON TUESDAY OVER SAME AREA...RH WILL
BE HIGHER BUT WINDS APPEAR STRONGER.

SCATTERED/WIDESPREAD RAIN POSSIBLE IN THE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY TIME
FRAME AS ADVERTISED UPPER LOW APPROACHES FROM MEXICO. SEVERE
WEATHER CHANCES DO NOT LOOK EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH UNTIL FRIDAY INTO
NEXT WEEKEND WITH DRYLINE BECOMING FOCUS AND DEEP LAYER FLOW
INCREASING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  76  53  88  61 /  10  10   0   0
HOBART OK         79  54  91  61 /  10  20   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  81  55  92  61 /   0  10   0   0
GAGE OK           81  55  92  60 /  20  10   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  50  85  61 /  20  10   0   0
DURANT OK         78  53  87  61 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/99/11