Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 292052
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
352 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Complex convective forecast continues with little help from any
model consistency or model agreement. Main area for convective
impacts first period will be far western and southwest parts of
Oklahoma and western north Texas as storms over Texas Panhandle
tries to build east and southeast near edge of West Texas
instability axis. Other areas of potential concentration will be
south-central and southeast Oklahoma where slightly better
moisture resides near weak outflow boundary. An outflow boundary
from northern Oklahoma convection will also move slowly south
toward the I-40 corridor of central Oklahoma and could be a focus
for at least isolated thunderstorms. Majority of heavy rain will
likely be west of the body of Oklahoma and western north Texas but
eventual eastward progression of any MCS may affect southwest
Oklahoma and western north Texas tonight. At this point we are
not issuing a flood watch but slow moving storms tonight will
yield the threat for heavy rain.

Wet weather will continue through at least Wednesday before drier
and cooler air filters in behind seasonably strong cold front.
Convection Tuesday and Wednesday associated with this front will
likely yield the greater threat for widespread heavy rain and need
for flood watches.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  64  81  64  81 /  30  40  30  60
Hobart OK         64  83  65  82 /  50  40  40  60
Wichita Falls TX  64  84  66  83 /  60  40  40  50
Gage OK           60  83  62  80 /  40  30  40  70
Ponca City OK     63  81  64  81 /  40  40  30  60
Durant OK         66  84  67  83 /  30  40  20  30

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/11


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