Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 242344
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
544 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL THEN
INCREASE FROM 12Z TO 17Z THURSDAY...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
15 TO 25 KNOTS...GUSTING OVER 30 KNOTS AT TIMES. OTHERWISE...A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY ISSUES IN THE SHORT TERM ARE THE WINDY CONDITIONS AND
RELATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR CHRISTMAS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES AND MIN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE CURRENTLY NOT
FORECAST TO REACH CRITERIA FOR FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES /MAX
TEMPERATURE OF 65 AND MIN RH OF 20 PERCENT/... BUT THE BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL CREATE ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR. AS FAR AS WIND... A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE
NECESSARY FOR TOMORROW... BUT WILL DEFER TO LATER SHIFTS.

A STORM SYSTEM LAZILY MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
FRIDAY/SATURDAY WITH A SURFACE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH NOT VERY COLD... ENOUGH
COLD AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW
OR A MIX LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATION APPROACHING AN INCH IN PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE ANY ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE LIGHT.

TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED... ANOTHER FRONT MONDAY BRINGS MUCH
COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA AND POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION. ECMWF
LOW-LEVEL THERMO FIELDS SHOW POTENTIAL OF UNCOMFORTABLY COLD
WEATHER BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A 1050 MB HIGH MOVING DOWN
THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WILL WATCH TRENDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
FOR INDICATIONS OF HOW COLD THIS AIRMASS WILL BE FOR THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  31  58  42  53 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         31  59  40  52 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  32  64  43  60 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           29  60  33  40 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     30  57  41  49 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         33  58  45  57 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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