Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 161107
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
507 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF STRATUS CONTINUES TO LINGER AND SPREAD SOUTH EARLY
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN OK. THIS STRATUS MAY
EVENTUALLY MAKE IT INTO CENTRAL OK...BUT DO NOT EXPECTED IT TO
LAST VERY LONG AFTER SUNRISE. CIRRUS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST
THROUGH THE DAY...HOWEVER. EXPECT TEMPS TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW AVG
THIS AFTERNOON AS A SFC HIGH SETTLES IN OVERHEAD. THIS HIGH WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT STILL IMPACT
MORNING LOWS FOR WED AS THEY DROP INTO THE 20S ALONG AND NORTH OF
I40.

DURING THE DAY WED...A LEE LOW WILL MOVE NEAR THE OK PANHANDLE
AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WINDS WILL RETURN FROM THE
SE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO CREEP BACK INTO THE
SOUTHERN ZONES. CLOUD COVER AND RAIN CHCS WILL INCREASE WED AS
THIS FEATURE MOVES OVER OK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL
ZONES WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE SUFFICIENT AND STRONG ISENTROPIC
ASCENT WILL DEVELOP. ELEVATED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SE WED...BUT NOT LIKELY. ALSO...CANNOT RULE
OUT A BRIEF SNOW/RAIN MIX ACROSS THE NORTH LATE WED NIGHT BEFORE
WAA TAKES HOLD.

BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EXITS THE
REGION DECREASING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL CHANCES BUT
STRATUS...DRIZZLE...AND FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN MAKE AN APPEARANCE
IN THE FORECAST AND LIKELY LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID TO UPPER TROUGH AND BEHIND A COLD
FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL AGAIN INCREASE FRIDAY WITH THIS
FEATURE AS A VORT MAX IN ITS BASE TRAVERSES CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
TX. RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHEST QPF WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF
OUR FA FRIDAY...AND ANY FROZEN PRECIP WILL COME IN THE FORM OF
VERY LIGHT...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWEST.
DO NOT FEEL LIKE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE PRESENT IN THE
DENDRITIC ZONE FRI ACROSS THE NORTH TO WARRANT A MENTION OF SNOW
FOR THE MOMENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  47  29  42  38 /   0   0  40  40
HOBART OK         47  31  43  38 /   0  10  40  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  49  34  44  40 /   0  10  40  20
GAGE OK           46  29  45  34 /   0  10  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     42  25  40  33 /   0   0  30  60
DURANT OK         48  32  44  40 /   0   0  60  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/03



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