Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 302318
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
618 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY THROUGH AROUND 12Z TO 14Z WED...THEN
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND BECOME GUSTY. VERY LOW CHANCE OF ISO
TSRA KGAG/KWWR/KPNC FROM 18Z TO 00Z WED...BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO MENTION IN TAFS.

AUSTIN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER HOT DAY WILL SET IN TOMORROW UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
UPPER RIDGE. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WILL SEE TEMPERATURES NEAR HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS BEHIND IT THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ON
FRIDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLIDES THROUGH THE AREA. SATURDAY
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A CHANCE OF RAIN...THOUGH CHANCES SHOULD
DIMINISH THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER
90S AND UPPER 80S DURING THIS LATE WEEK PERIOD...BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AND UNDER THE SHORTWAVE.

AS WE MOVE INTO THE EXTENDED...MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE. THE GFS
TRIES TO BUILD IN A MASSIVE RIDGE OVER THE AREA...WHILE THE ECMWF
BRINGS A TROUGH THROUGH THE AREA. WENT MIDDLE OF THE ROAD WITH A
SLIGHT LEANING TOWARD THE GFS...KEEPING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK...AND SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES.

MAD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  74  95  75  92 /   0   0  20  30
HOBART OK         73  98  75  93 /   0   0  20  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  97  76  95 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           73  99  71  91 /   0  20  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     77  98  74  93 /   0  10  20  30
DURANT OK         73  93  74  92 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

09/84


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