Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 181623
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1023 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014

.UPDATE...
REMOVED POPS FOR TODAY...LEAVING DRIZZLE INSTEAD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE MOST PART...FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK. LOW OVERCAST
SKIES...DRIZZLE...LIGHT WINDS...AND SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. REMOVED MENTION OF RAIN AS
FORCING LOOKS TO BE TOO WEAK. HOWEVER...PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

MAD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO HIGH THAT LIFR WILL APPLY AT MOST
TERMINALS THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD DUE TO LOW CIGS. SOME
IMPROVEMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AT WWR/GAG...AND PERHAPS SPS...WHERE
CIGS MAY LIFT TO AROUND 015 BUT THESE WILL DROP AGAIN LATER
TONIGHT. EXPECT LIGHT EAST TO NE WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 KT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 441 AM CST THU DEC 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT PRECIP HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS STILL A
POSSIBILITY OF VERY LIGHT RAIN/SNOW NEAR THE KS/OK BORDER EARLY
THIS MORNING...BUT AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW AND IMPACTS TO
TRAVEL WILL NOT BE A PROBLEM. ELSEWHERE...DRIZZLE AND FOG
CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE AREA. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE MOST THE
DAY...WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 40S.

THE NEXT MID TO UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE TONIGHT. RAIN CHCS WILL RETURN MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
BEFORE LUNCHTIME...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER.
DRIZZLE AND FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING. SOME
BRIEF SNOW MIXED WITH THE COLD RAIN CANNOT TOTALLY BE RULED OUT
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS NW OK...BUT CERTAINLY DO NOT
EXPECT ANY TRAVEL PROBLEMS. THE WAVE WILL EXIT THE REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT ENDING PRECIP CHCS. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE SAT AM
ALONG THE RED RIVER AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OK WITH VERY
LIGHT WINDS AND ENOUGH BL MOISTURE STILL PRESENT.

NEAR NORMAL TEMPS WILL RETURN THIS WEEKEND...WITH A SCHC OF
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE ACROSS CENTRAL OK WITHIN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
FETCH AS ANOTHER MID TO UPPER TROUGH PASSES OVERHEAD. ABOVE AVG
TEMPS ARE THEN EXPECTED BY MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUES AM....DRYING US OUT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  43  38  43  35 /  20  20  20   0
HOBART OK         45  37  44  35 /  20  20  20   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  48  42  47  36 /  10  30  30  10
GAGE OK           40  31  45  31 /  10  10  20   0
PONCA CITY OK     39  33  40  31 /  30  10  10  10
DURANT OK         48  42  47  39 /  10  30  50  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

14/26



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