Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 192321
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.AVIATION...
20/00Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AREAWIDE THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF THE FCST PD. LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN MOIST SO SOME LOW CLOUDS
AND FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT WITH SOME MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING. LOWER CONDITIONS MAY PREVAIL
LONGER IN THE SOUTHWEST WHERE SHOWER/ISOLD TSTMS MAY DEVELOP.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND WITH HEAVY RAINFALL... DUE TO THE REMNANTS
OF ODILE... REMAINING TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF MOST OF THE FA
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HOWEVER... THE FAR SW PARTS OF THE FA MAY
RECEIVE SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH
THIS SCENARIO... CONTINUED TO REDUCE POPS AND CONFINE HIGHEST
CHANCES TO SOUTHWEST PARTS OF THE FA. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. SOME MODELS HAVE SLOWED THE TIMING
OF THIS FRONT A LITTLE WITH IT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT AS WELL.

THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE FA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PARTS OF THE
AREA WITH THE BEST CHANCE ACROSS NORTHERN OK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  88  67  89 /  10  30  20  20
HOBART OK         70  86  67  89 /  30  40  20  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  71  86  68  89 /  30  50  30  20
GAGE OK           66  86  63  85 /  30  30  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     68  90  67  85 /  10  20  20  30
DURANT OK         70  89  69  90 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/25



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