Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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813
FXUS64 KOUN 180924
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
424 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD FOG...SOME DENSE...EXPECTED OVER ALL BUT FAR
WEST/NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. WITH THE WET GROUND AND 0-1
T/TD DEPRESSIONS...WE WILL MONITOR CLOSELY FOR ISSUANCE OF A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY.

WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS OKLAHOMA
DURING THE DAY TODAY. WITH VERY WEAK CONVERGENCE NEAR THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND S/WV RIDGING OVER THE REGION...DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING
MORE THAN PERHAPS ISOLATED STORMS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
MORE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IF ACTIVITY TO OUR WEST CAN MOVE INTO
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS AS S/WV TROUGH
APPROACHES. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE STRONGER FRONT PROGRESSES OVER THE
REGION AND USHERS IN DRIER AND STABLE AIR.

WESTERN TROUGH RELOADS TO ALLOW MOISTURE TO RETREAT BACK NORTH
OVER REGION AND YIELD INCREASED RAIN CHANCES AGAIN TO END THE
WEEK. STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS MAIN
UPPER WAVE PUSHES INTO SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. NO FLOOD/FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SHIFT BUT WILL BE SOMETHING TO
CONSIDER THROUGH THE WEEK. ALONG WITH SEVERE WEATHER RISKS...
FLOODING/FLASH FLOODING MAY BE MOST PROMINENT AND WIDESPREAD
CONCERN THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  84  62  73  62 /  20  20  60  90
HOBART OK         84  60  72  60 /  20  40  70  80
WICHITA FALLS TX  87  65  77  66 /  10  30  70  60
GAGE OK           76  53  64  51 /  10  40  70  80
PONCA CITY OK     79  55  69  57 /  10  10  40  80
DURANT OK         84  65  80  68 /  20  20  50  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/11



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